Grard Perrier (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 88.35
| PERR Stock | EUR 88.60 0.60 0.68% |
Grard |
Grard Perrier Target Price Odds to finish below 88.35
The tendency of Grard Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 88.35 or more in 90 days |
| 88.60 | 90 days | 88.35 | about 56.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grard Perrier to drop to € 88.35 or more in 90 days from now is about 56.27 (This Grard Perrier Industrie probability density function shows the probability of Grard Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grard Perrier Industrie price to stay between € 88.35 and its current price of €88.6 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Grard Perrier Industrie has a beta of -0.24 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Grard Perrier are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Grard Perrier Industrie is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Grard Perrier Industrie has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Grard Perrier Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Grard Perrier
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grard Perrier Industrie. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Grard Perrier Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grard Perrier is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grard Perrier's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grard Perrier Industrie, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grard Perrier within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Grard Perrier Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grard Perrier for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grard Perrier Industrie can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Grard Perrier generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Grard Perrier Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grard Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grard Perrier's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grard Perrier's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 51.9 M |
Grard Perrier Technical Analysis
Grard Perrier's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grard Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grard Perrier Industrie. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grard Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Grard Perrier Predictive Forecast Models
Grard Perrier's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grard Perrier's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grard Perrier's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Grard Perrier Industrie
Checking the ongoing alerts about Grard Perrier for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grard Perrier Industrie help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Grard Perrier generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Grard Stock
Grard Perrier financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grard Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grard with respect to the benefits of owning Grard Perrier security.