Grard Perrier Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| PERR Stock | EUR 87.60 0.60 0.68% |
Grard Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Grard Perrier stock prices and determine the direction of Grard Perrier Industrie's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Grard Perrier's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Grard Perrier's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.27) | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.7364 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.4913 | Wall Street Target Price 98 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.004 |
Using Grard Perrier hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grard Perrier Industrie from the perspective of Grard Perrier response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Grard Perrier Industrie on the next trading day is expected to be 87.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 90.62. Grard Perrier after-hype prediction price | EUR 87.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Grard |
Grard Perrier Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Grard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Grard Perrier Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Grard Perrier Industrie on the next trading day is expected to be 87.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.49, mean absolute percentage error of 4.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 90.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grard Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grard Perrier's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Grard Perrier Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Grard Perrier | Grard Perrier Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Grard Perrier Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Grard Perrier's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Grard Perrier's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 86.55 and 89.18, respectively. We have considered Grard Perrier's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grard Perrier stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grard Perrier stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.5723 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4855 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0184 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 90.6171 |
Predictive Modules for Grard Perrier
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grard Perrier Industrie. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Grard Perrier After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Grard Perrier at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grard Perrier or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Grard Perrier, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Grard Perrier Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Grard Perrier's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grard Perrier's historical news coverage. Grard Perrier's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 86.29 and 88.91, respectively. We have considered Grard Perrier's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Grard Perrier is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grard Perrier Industrie is based on 3 months time horizon.
Grard Perrier Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Grard Perrier is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grard Perrier backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grard Perrier, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.31 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
87.60 | 87.60 | 0.00 |
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Grard Perrier Hype Timeline
Grard Perrier Industrie is at this time traded for 87.60on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Grard is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Grard Perrier is about 1047.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 87.62. About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Grard Perrier was at this time reported as 34.79. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of June 2025. Grard Perrier Industrie had 2:1 split on the 2nd of July 2014. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grard Perrier to cross-verify your projections.Grard Perrier Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Grard Perrier's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grard Perrier's future price movements. Getting to know how Grard Perrier's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grard Perrier may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALSTI | STIF Socit anonyme | (0.70) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.49 | (4.29) | 19.54 | |
| GPE | Groupe Pizzorno Environnement | 1.40 | 2 per month | 0.92 | 0.06 | 1.94 | (1.41) | 10.97 | |
| EXE | Exel Industries | (0.01) | 2 per month | 1.34 | 0.12 | 3.04 | (2.77) | 9.50 | |
| MRN | Mersen SA | (0.05) | 3 per month | 0.98 | 0.19 | 2.56 | (1.83) | 8.80 | |
| ALPM | Precia SA | 0.70 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.18 | (2.60) | 6.97 | |
| LAT | Latcore SA | 0.0002 | 1 per month | 2.50 | 0.11 | 8.11 | (5.41) | 16.94 | |
| ALTPC | Societe Marseillaise du | (0.1) | 1 per month | 0.28 | (0.02) | 1.07 | (0.71) | 3.25 | |
| SFPI | Groupe Sfpi | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.75 | (2.27) | 5.91 | |
| SAMS | Samse SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.89 | (2.80) | 7.43 | |
| AAA | Alan Allman Associates | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 8.50 | (9.33) | 29.03 |
Other Forecasting Options for Grard Perrier
For every potential investor in Grard, whether a beginner or expert, Grard Perrier's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Grard Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Grard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Grard Perrier's price trends.Grard Perrier Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Grard Perrier stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Grard Perrier could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grard Perrier by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Grard Perrier Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grard Perrier stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grard Perrier shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grard Perrier stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Grard Perrier Industrie entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Grard Perrier Risk Indicators
The analysis of Grard Perrier's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grard Perrier's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting grard stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8985 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8053 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Variance | 1.64 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6485 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.24) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Grard Perrier
The number of cover stories for Grard Perrier depends on current market conditions and Grard Perrier's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Grard Perrier is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Grard Perrier's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Grard Perrier Short Properties
Grard Perrier's future price predictability will typically decrease when Grard Perrier's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Grard Perrier Industrie often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Grard Perrier's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grard Perrier's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 79.2 M |
Other Information on Investing in Grard Stock
Grard Perrier financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grard Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grard with respect to the benefits of owning Grard Perrier security.