Prudential Financial 4125 Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.08
| PFH Stock | USD 19.72 0.38 1.96% |
Prudential |
Prudential Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 16.08
The tendency of Prudential Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 16.08 or more in 90 days |
| 19.72 | 90 days | 16.08 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prudential Financial to drop to $ 16.08 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Prudential Financial 4125 probability density function shows the probability of Prudential Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Prudential Financial 4125 price to stay between $ 16.08 and its current price of $19.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.54 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Prudential Financial has a beta of 0.0471 indicating as returns on the market go up, Prudential Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Prudential Financial 4125 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Prudential Financial 4125 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Prudential Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Prudential Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prudential Financial 4125. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Prudential Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prudential Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prudential Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prudential Financial 4125, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prudential Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Prudential Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Prudential Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Prudential Financial 4125 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Prudential Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Prudential Financial, Inc. Position Decreased by Foundry Partners LLC |
Prudential Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Prudential Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Prudential Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prudential Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 364.6 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19.4 B |
Prudential Financial Technical Analysis
Prudential Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prudential Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prudential Financial 4125. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prudential Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Prudential Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Prudential Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Prudential Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prudential Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Prudential Financial 4125
Checking the ongoing alerts about Prudential Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Prudential Financial 4125 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Prudential Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Prudential Financial, Inc. Position Decreased by Foundry Partners LLC |
Check out Prudential Financial Backtesting, Prudential Financial Valuation, Prudential Financial Correlation, Prudential Financial Hype Analysis, Prudential Financial Volatility, Prudential Financial History as well as Prudential Financial Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Prudential Stock please use our How to Invest in Prudential Financial guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Prudential Financial. If investors know Prudential will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Prudential Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Return On Equity 0.1177 |
The market value of Prudential Financial 4125 is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Prudential that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Prudential Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Prudential Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Prudential Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Prudential Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Prudential Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Prudential Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Prudential Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.