Ammo Preferred Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 26.49
| POWWP Preferred Stock | USD 21.57 0.26 1.19% |
Ammo |
Ammo Preferred Target Price Odds to finish below 26.49
The tendency of Ammo Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 26.49 after 90 days |
| 21.57 | 90 days | 26.49 | about 91.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ammo Preferred to stay under $ 26.49 after 90 days from now is about 91.68 (This Ammo Preferred probability density function shows the probability of Ammo Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ammo Preferred price to stay between its current price of $ 21.57 and $ 26.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ammo Preferred has a beta of 0.33 indicating as returns on the market go up, Ammo Preferred average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ammo Preferred will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ammo Preferred has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ammo Preferred Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Ammo Preferred
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ammo Preferred. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ammo Preferred's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ammo Preferred Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ammo Preferred is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ammo Preferred's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ammo Preferred, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ammo Preferred within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Ammo Preferred Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ammo Preferred for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ammo Preferred can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ammo Preferred generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ammo Preferred has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: POWW IMPORTANT DEADLINE ROSEN, SKILLED INVESTOR COUNSEL, Encourages AMMO, Inc. ... |
Ammo Preferred Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ammo Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ammo Preferred's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ammo Preferred's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 116.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 23.3 M |
Ammo Preferred Technical Analysis
Ammo Preferred's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ammo Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ammo Preferred. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ammo Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ammo Preferred Predictive Forecast Models
Ammo Preferred's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ammo Preferred's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ammo Preferred's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ammo Preferred
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ammo Preferred for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ammo Preferred help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ammo Preferred generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ammo Preferred has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: POWW IMPORTANT DEADLINE ROSEN, SKILLED INVESTOR COUNSEL, Encourages AMMO, Inc. ... |
Additional Tools for Ammo Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Ammo Preferred's price analysis, check to measure Ammo Preferred's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ammo Preferred is operating at the current time. Most of Ammo Preferred's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ammo Preferred's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ammo Preferred's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ammo Preferred to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.