Regencell Bioscience Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.44

RGC Stock  USD 5.45  0.07  1.27%   
Regencell Bioscience's future price is the expected price of Regencell Bioscience instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Regencell Bioscience Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Regencell Bioscience Backtesting, Regencell Bioscience Valuation, Regencell Bioscience Correlation, Regencell Bioscience Hype Analysis, Regencell Bioscience Volatility, Regencell Bioscience History as well as Regencell Bioscience Performance.
  
At present, Regencell Bioscience's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 10.29, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.36. Please specify Regencell Bioscience's target price for which you would like Regencell Bioscience odds to be computed.

Regencell Bioscience Target Price Odds to finish below 5.44

The tendency of Regencell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 5.44  or more in 90 days
 5.45 90 days 5.44 
about 28.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Regencell Bioscience to drop to $ 5.44  or more in 90 days from now is about 28.87 (This Regencell Bioscience Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Regencell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Regencell Bioscience price to stay between $ 5.44  and its current price of $5.45 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Regencell Bioscience Holdings has a beta of -1.35 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Regencell Bioscience Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Regencell Bioscience is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Regencell Bioscience Holdings has an alpha of 0.2988, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Regencell Bioscience Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Regencell Bioscience

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regencell Bioscience. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.275.4914.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.254.9214.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.126.0815.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.316.037.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Regencell Bioscience. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Regencell Bioscience's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Regencell Bioscience's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Regencell Bioscience.

Regencell Bioscience Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Regencell Bioscience is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Regencell Bioscience's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Regencell Bioscience Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Regencell Bioscience within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.83
Ir
Information ratio 0

Regencell Bioscience Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Regencell Bioscience for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Regencell Bioscience can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Regencell Bioscience had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.36 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0.
Regencell Bioscience Holdings has about 59.41 K in cash with (4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Regencell Bioscience has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Regal Owner Cineworld to Shut Six More U.K. Locations Amid Restructuring

Regencell Bioscience Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Regencell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Regencell Bioscience's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Regencell Bioscience's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

Regencell Bioscience Technical Analysis

Regencell Bioscience's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Regencell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Regencell Bioscience Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Regencell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Regencell Bioscience Predictive Forecast Models

Regencell Bioscience's time-series forecasting models is one of many Regencell Bioscience's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Regencell Bioscience's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Regencell Bioscience

Checking the ongoing alerts about Regencell Bioscience for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Regencell Bioscience help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Regencell Bioscience had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.36 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0.
Regencell Bioscience Holdings has about 59.41 K in cash with (4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Regencell Bioscience has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Regal Owner Cineworld to Shut Six More U.K. Locations Amid Restructuring
When determining whether Regencell Bioscience offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Regencell Bioscience's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Regencell Bioscience Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Regencell Bioscience Holdings Stock:
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Regencell Bioscience. If investors know Regencell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Regencell Bioscience listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.33)
Return On Assets
(0.28)
Return On Equity
(0.43)
The market value of Regencell Bioscience is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Regencell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Regencell Bioscience's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Regencell Bioscience's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Regencell Bioscience's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Regencell Bioscience's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Regencell Bioscience's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Regencell Bioscience is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Regencell Bioscience's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.