Regencell Bioscience Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| RGC Stock | USD 5.91 0.04 0.68% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Regencell Bioscience Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 5.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.20. Regencell Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Regencell Bioscience stock prices and determine the direction of Regencell Bioscience Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Regencell Bioscience's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Regencell |
Regencell Bioscience Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Regencell Bioscience Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 5.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Regencell Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Regencell Bioscience's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Regencell Bioscience Stock Forecast Pattern
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Regencell Bioscience Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Regencell Bioscience's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Regencell Bioscience's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.06 and 15.44, respectively. We have considered Regencell Bioscience's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Regencell Bioscience stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Regencell Bioscience stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0897 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.42 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0674 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.2002 |
Predictive Modules for Regencell Bioscience
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regencell Bioscience. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Regencell Bioscience
For every potential investor in Regencell, whether a beginner or expert, Regencell Bioscience's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Regencell Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Regencell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Regencell Bioscience's price trends.View Regencell Bioscience Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Regencell Bioscience Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Regencell Bioscience's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Regencell Bioscience's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Regencell Bioscience Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Regencell Bioscience stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Regencell Bioscience shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Regencell Bioscience stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Regencell Bioscience Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5113.17 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.0727 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 6.03 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 5.99 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.1) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.04 |
Regencell Bioscience Risk Indicators
The analysis of Regencell Bioscience's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Regencell Bioscience's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting regencell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.36 | |||
| Variance | 87.66 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Regencell Bioscience offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Regencell Bioscience's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Regencell Bioscience Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Regencell Bioscience Holdings Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Regencell Bioscience to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Regencell Bioscience. If investors know Regencell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Regencell Bioscience listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.33) | Return On Assets (0.28) | Return On Equity (0.43) |
The market value of Regencell Bioscience is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Regencell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Regencell Bioscience's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Regencell Bioscience's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Regencell Bioscience's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Regencell Bioscience's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Regencell Bioscience's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Regencell Bioscience is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Regencell Bioscience's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.