Regional Management Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 29.7
| RM Stock | USD 29.70 0.34 1.16% |
Regional |
Regional Management Target Price Odds to finish over 29.7
The tendency of Regional Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 29.70 | 90 days | 29.70 | about 86.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Regional Management to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.4 (This Regional Management Corp probability density function shows the probability of Regional Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.18 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Regional Management will likely underperform. Additionally Regional Management Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Regional Management Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Regional Management
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regional Management Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Regional Management Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Regional Management is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Regional Management's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Regional Management Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Regional Management within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Regional Management Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Regional Management for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Regional Management Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Regional Management generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Regional Management has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Regional Management Corp. Declares Quarterly Dividend of 0.30 |
Regional Management Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Regional Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Regional Management's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Regional Management's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.5 M |
Regional Management Technical Analysis
Regional Management's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Regional Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Regional Management Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Regional Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Regional Management Predictive Forecast Models
Regional Management's time-series forecasting models is one of many Regional Management's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Regional Management's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Regional Management Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Regional Management for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Regional Management Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Regional Management generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Regional Management has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Regional Management Corp. Declares Quarterly Dividend of 0.30 |
Check out Regional Management Backtesting, Regional Management Valuation, Regional Management Correlation, Regional Management Hype Analysis, Regional Management Volatility, Regional Management History as well as Regional Management Performance. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Consumer Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Regional Management. If investors know Regional will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Regional Management listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 2.35 | Revenue Per Share 58.139 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.036 |
The market value of Regional Management Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Regional that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Regional Management's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Regional Management's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Regional Management's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Regional Management's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Regional Management's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Regional Management is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Regional Management's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.