Regional Management Corp Stock Price Prediction
| RM Stock | USD 29.66 0.24 0.80% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.94 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.055 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.5567 | Wall Street Target Price 37 |
Using Regional Management hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Regional Management Corp from the perspective of Regional Management response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Regional Management to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Regional because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Regional Management after-hype prediction price | USD 29.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Regional |
Regional Management After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Regional Management at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Regional Management or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Regional Management, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Regional Management Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Regional Management's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Regional Management's historical news coverage. Regional Management's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.19 and 32.13, respectively. We have considered Regional Management's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Regional Management is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Regional Management Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Regional Management Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Regional Management is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Regional Management backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Regional Management, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 2.47 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
29.66 | 29.66 | 0.00 |
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Regional Management Hype Timeline
As of November 21, 2024 Regional Management Corp is listed for 29.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Regional is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Regional Management is about 238.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.76. About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.85. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Regional Management Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.42. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2024. The firm had 5:1 split on the 13th of August 2003. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Regional Management Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Regional Management Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Regional Management's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Regional Management's future price movements. Getting to know how Regional Management's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Regional Management may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SLMBP | SLM Corp Pb | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.72 | (0.46) | 3.53 | |
| FCFS | FirstCash | 1.86 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.31 | (2.42) | 9.46 | |
| AGM-A | Federal Agricultural Mortgage | 0.00 | 8 per month | 1.05 | 0.08 | 3.43 | (2.06) | 12.97 | |
| NAVI | Navient Corp | (0.15) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.27 | (3.50) | 13.67 | |
| NICK | Nicholas Financial | (0.05) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.60 | (5.29) | 19.87 | |
| IX | Orix Corp Ads | (0.83) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.12 | (2.89) | 8.46 | |
| FOA | Finance of America | (1.13) | 8 per month | 5.83 | 0.21 | 14.49 | (10.96) | 45.38 | |
| EZPW | EZCORP Inc | 0.04 | 10 per month | 1.31 | (0.02) | 3.43 | (2.54) | 6.51 | |
| CACC | Credit Acceptance | 9.49 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.77 | (2.29) | 11.13 | |
| CURO | Curo Group Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 11.69 | (9.37) | 52.17 | |
| SLM | SLM Corp | 0.42 | 9 per month | 1.54 | 0.06 | 2.97 | (2.59) | 15.03 | |
| ENVA | Enova International | 2.79 | 12 per month | 1.66 | 0.10 | 3.13 | (3.16) | 13.01 |
Regional Management Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Regional price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Regional using various technical indicators. When you analyze Regional charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Regional Management Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Regional Management stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Regional Management Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Regional Management based on analysis of Regional Management hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Regional Management's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Regional Management's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0165 | 0.0435 | 0.0504 | 0.0529 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.45 | 0.55 | 0.43 | 0.41 |
Story Coverage note for Regional Management
The number of cover stories for Regional Management depends on current market conditions and Regional Management's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Regional Management is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Regional Management's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Regional Management Short Properties
Regional Management's future price predictability will typically decrease when Regional Management's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Regional Management Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Regional Management's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Regional Management's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.5 M |
Check out Regional Management Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Consumer Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Regional Management. If investors know Regional will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Regional Management listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 2.35 | Revenue Per Share 58.139 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.036 |
The market value of Regional Management Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Regional that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Regional Management's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Regional Management's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Regional Management's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Regional Management's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Regional Management's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Regional Management is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Regional Management's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.