Regional Management Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| RM Stock | USD 36.91 1.46 3.81% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Regional Management Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 38.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.11. Regional Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Regional Management's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Regional Management's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Regional Management fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength indicator of Regional Management's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.868 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.31 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.422 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.124 | Wall Street Target Price 46.3333 |
Using Regional Management hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Regional Management Corp from the perspective of Regional Management response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Regional Management using Regional Management's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Regional using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Regional Management's stock price.
Regional Management Implied Volatility | 0.71 |
Regional Management's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Regional Management Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Regional Management's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Regional Management stock will not fluctuate a lot when Regional Management's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Regional Management Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 38.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.11. Regional Management after-hype prediction price | USD 36.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Regional Management to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Regional contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Regional Management Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0444% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Regional Management trading at USD 36.91, that is roughly USD 0.0164 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Regional Management's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Regional Management Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Regional Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Regional Management's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Regional Management's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Regional Management stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Regional Management's open interest, investors have to compare it to Regional Management's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Regional Management is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Regional. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Regional Management Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Regional price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Regional using various technical indicators. When you analyze Regional charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Regional Management Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Regional Management Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 38.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.17, mean absolute percentage error of 1.79, and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Regional Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Regional Management's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Regional Management Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Regional Management | Regional Management Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Regional Management Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Regional Management's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Regional Management's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.10 and 41.06, respectively. We have considered Regional Management's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Regional Management stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Regional Management stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.6924 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1658 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0306 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 71.112 |
Predictive Modules for Regional Management
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regional Management Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Regional Management After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Regional Management at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Regional Management or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Regional Management, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Regional Management Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Regional Management's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Regional Management's historical news coverage. Regional Management's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.37 and 39.33, respectively. We have considered Regional Management's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Regional Management is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Regional Management Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Regional Management Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Regional Management is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Regional Management backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Regional Management, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 2.48 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
36.91 | 36.85 | 0.16 |
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Regional Management Hype Timeline
As of January 23, 2026 Regional Management Corp is listed for 36.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Regional is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 36.85. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Regional Management is about 4408.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.91. About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.98. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Regional Management Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.42. The entity last dividend was issued on the 25th of November 2025. The firm had 5:1 split on the 13th of August 2003. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Regional Management to cross-verify your projections.Regional Management Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Regional Management's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Regional Management's future price movements. Getting to know how Regional Management's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Regional Management may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ATLC | Atlanticus Holdings | 0.60 | 9 per month | 3.21 | 0.01 | 4.77 | (5.57) | 14.61 | |
| RWAY | Runway Growth Finance | 0.06 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.80 | (2.36) | 6.84 | |
| FRBA | First Bank | (0.01) | 8 per month | 1.26 | 0.05 | 3.29 | (1.82) | 8.53 | |
| CARE | Carter Bank and | (0.01) | 11 per month | 1.67 | 0.01 | 3.19 | (3.25) | 7.40 | |
| BSVN | Bank7 Corp | (1.12) | 8 per month | 1.43 | (0.02) | 2.39 | (2.38) | 5.28 | |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | 0.05 | 10 per month | 0.95 | 0.09 | 2.75 | (2.00) | 7.93 | |
| GCBC | Greene County Bancorp | (0.01) | 17 per month | 1.73 | 0 | 4.59 | (3.30) | 10.25 | |
| BSRR | Sierra Bancorp | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.78 | 0.20 | 4.28 | (1.69) | 6.92 |
Other Forecasting Options for Regional Management
For every potential investor in Regional, whether a beginner or expert, Regional Management's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Regional Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Regional. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Regional Management's price trends.Regional Management Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Regional Management stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Regional Management could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Regional Management by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Regional Management Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Regional Management stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Regional Management shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Regional Management stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Regional Management Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2141.63 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.84) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 37.44 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 37.26 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.26) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.46) |
Regional Management Risk Indicators
The analysis of Regional Management's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Regional Management's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting regional stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.43 | |||
| Variance | 5.92 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Regional Management
The number of cover stories for Regional Management depends on current market conditions and Regional Management's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Regional Management is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Regional Management's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Regional Management Short Properties
Regional Management's future price predictability will typically decrease when Regional Management's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Regional Management Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Regional Management's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Regional Management's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Regional Management to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Consumer Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Regional Management. If investors know Regional will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Regional Management listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.868 | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 4.13 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.132 |
The market value of Regional Management Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Regional that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Regional Management's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Regional Management's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Regional Management's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Regional Management's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Regional Management's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Regional Management is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Regional Management's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.