Southern Copper Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 84.29
| SCCO Stock | USD 99.74 0.94 0.93% |
Southern |
Southern Copper Target Price Odds to finish below 84.29
The tendency of Southern Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 84.29 or more in 90 days |
| 99.74 | 90 days | 84.29 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Southern Copper to drop to $ 84.29 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Southern Copper probability density function shows the probability of Southern Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Southern Copper price to stay between $ 84.29 and its current price of $99.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.33 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Southern Copper has a beta of 0.8. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Southern Copper average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Southern Copper will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Southern Copper has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Southern Copper Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Southern Copper
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southern Copper. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Southern Copper's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Southern Copper Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Southern Copper is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Southern Copper's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Southern Copper, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Southern Copper within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.80 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Southern Copper Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Southern Copper for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Southern Copper can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Southern Copper generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 21st of November 2024 Southern Copper paid $ 0.7 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Sell PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL Sells Shares of Southern Copper Corp |
Southern Copper Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Southern Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Southern Copper's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Southern Copper's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 785.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
Southern Copper Technical Analysis
Southern Copper's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Southern Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Southern Copper. In general, you should focus on analyzing Southern Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Southern Copper Predictive Forecast Models
Southern Copper's time-series forecasting models is one of many Southern Copper's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Southern Copper's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Southern Copper
Checking the ongoing alerts about Southern Copper for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Southern Copper help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Southern Copper generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 21st of November 2024 Southern Copper paid $ 0.7 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Sell PALOMINO BONILLA LUIS MIGUEL Sells Shares of Southern Copper Corp |
Check out Southern Copper Backtesting, Southern Copper Valuation, Southern Copper Correlation, Southern Copper Hype Analysis, Southern Copper Volatility, Southern Copper History as well as Southern Copper Performance. To learn how to invest in Southern Stock, please use our How to Invest in Southern Copper guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Southern Copper. If investors know Southern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Southern Copper listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.452 | Dividend Share 2.37 | Earnings Share 3.83 | Revenue Per Share 13.947 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.17 |
The market value of Southern Copper is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Southern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Southern Copper's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Southern Copper's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Southern Copper's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Southern Copper's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Southern Copper's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Southern Copper is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Southern Copper's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.