Southern Copper Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SCCO Stock | USD 190.32 17.61 8.47% |
Southern Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Southern Copper's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Southern Copper's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Southern Copper fundamentals over time.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Southern Copper's stock price is about 63. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Southern, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.604 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.5378 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.2282 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.6337 | Wall Street Target Price 149.3848 |
Using Southern Copper hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Southern Copper from the perspective of Southern Copper response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Southern Copper using Southern Copper's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Southern using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Southern Copper's stock price.
Southern Copper Short Interest
An investor who is long Southern Copper may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Southern Copper and may potentially protect profits, hedge Southern Copper with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 116.6502 | Short Percent 0.1094 | Short Ratio 6.92 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.3 M | 50 Day MA 154.3512 |
Southern Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Southern Copper on the next trading day is expected to be 190.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 225.56.Southern Copper Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Southern Copper's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Southern. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Southern can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Southern Copper. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Southern Copper's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Southern Copper.
Southern Copper Implied Volatility | 0.59 |
Southern Copper's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Southern Copper stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Southern Copper's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Southern Copper stock will not fluctuate a lot when Southern Copper's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Southern Copper on the next trading day is expected to be 190.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 225.56. Southern Copper after-hype prediction price | USD 190.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southern Copper to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Southern contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Southern Copper will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0369% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Southern Copper trading at USD 190.32, that is roughly USD 0.0702 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Southern Copper's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Southern Copper options at the current volatility level of 0.59%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Southern Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Southern Copper's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Southern Copper's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Southern Copper stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Southern Copper's open interest, investors have to compare it to Southern Copper's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Southern Copper is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Southern. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Southern Copper Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Southern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Southern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Southern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Southern Copper Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Southern Copper on the next trading day is expected to be 190.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.82, mean absolute percentage error of 24.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 225.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Southern Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Southern Copper's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Southern Copper Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Southern Copper | Southern Copper Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Southern Copper Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Southern Copper's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Southern Copper's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 187.73 and 192.91, respectively. We have considered Southern Copper's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Southern Copper stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Southern Copper stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.6423 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.4757 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.823 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0241 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 225.555 |
Predictive Modules for Southern Copper
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Southern Copper. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Southern Copper's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Southern Copper After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Southern Copper at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Southern Copper or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Southern Copper, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Southern Copper Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Southern Copper's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Southern Copper's historical news coverage. Southern Copper's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 187.64 and 193.00, respectively. We have considered Southern Copper's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Southern Copper is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Southern Copper is based on 3 months time horizon.
Southern Copper Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Southern Copper is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Southern Copper backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Southern Copper, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.67 | 2.59 | 3.61 | 0.45 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
190.32 | 190.32 | 0.00 |
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Southern Copper Hype Timeline
Southern Copper is at this time traded for 190.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 3.61, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.45. Southern is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 48.05%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.67%. %. The volatility of related hype on Southern Copper is about 384.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 190.77. About 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.2. Southern Copper last dividend was issued on the 10th of February 2026. The entity had 1008:1000 split on the 12th of November 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southern Copper to cross-verify your projections.Southern Copper Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Southern Copper's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Southern Copper's future price movements. Getting to know how Southern Copper's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Southern Copper may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RIO | Rio Tinto ADR | (1.53) | 8 per month | 1.29 | 0.22 | 2.70 | (2.24) | 6.32 | |
| FCX | Freeport McMoran Copper Gold | (0.07) | 4 per month | 2.09 | 0.24 | 3.67 | (3.89) | 7.62 | |
| NEM | Newmont Goldcorp Corp | 2.72 | 7 per month | 2.88 | 0.19 | 5.32 | (3.80) | 12.14 | |
| SHW | Sherwin Williams Co | 5.63 | 9 per month | 1.17 | 0.03 | 2.76 | (2.10) | 8.50 | |
| AEM | Agnico Eagle Mines | (5.21) | 39 per month | 2.98 | 0.11 | 4.03 | (4.06) | 10.79 | |
| CRH | CRH PLC ADR | (0.07) | 12 per month | 1.69 | (0) | 3.22 | (3.04) | 10.55 | |
| BHP | BHP Group Limited | 2.04 | 7 per month | 1.39 | 0.16 | 2.93 | (2.10) | 5.36 | |
| ECL | Ecolab Inc | (0.07) | 8 per month | 1.51 | (0.02) | 2.03 | (2.27) | 4.70 | |
| HBM | Hudbay Minerals | 1.88 | 10 per month | 2.99 | 0.20 | 5.44 | (5.81) | 12.33 | |
| B | Barrick Mining | 1.42 | 9 per month | 2.72 | 0.20 | 4.37 | (4.22) | 12.93 |
Other Forecasting Options for Southern Copper
For every potential investor in Southern, whether a beginner or expert, Southern Copper's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Southern Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Southern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Southern Copper's price trends.Southern Copper Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Southern Copper stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Southern Copper could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Southern Copper by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Southern Copper Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Southern Copper stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Southern Copper shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Southern Copper stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Southern Copper entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0769 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.13) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.92 | |||
| Day Median Price | 195.61 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 193.85 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 15.64 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (14.10) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (17.61) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 63.92 |
Southern Copper Risk Indicators
The analysis of Southern Copper's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Southern Copper's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting southern stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.66 | |||
| Variance | 7.07 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.85 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.15) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Southern Copper
The number of cover stories for Southern Copper depends on current market conditions and Southern Copper's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Southern Copper is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Southern Copper's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Southern Copper Short Properties
Southern Copper's future price predictability will typically decrease when Southern Copper's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Southern Copper often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Southern Copper's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Southern Copper's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 838.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.9 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Southern Copper to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Southern Stock, please use our How to Invest in Southern Copper guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Southern diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Southern Copper. If investors know Southern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Southern Copper data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.604 | Dividend Share 3.034 | Earnings Share 4.8 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.39 |
Understanding Southern Copper requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Southern's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Southern Copper's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Southern Copper's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Southern Copper's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Southern Copper is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Southern Copper's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.