CS Real (Switzerland) Odds of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 234.21

SIAT Fund  CHF 248.00  1.00  0.40%   
CS Real's future price is the expected price of CS Real instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CS Real Estate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CS Real Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, CS Real Correlation, CS Real Hype Analysis, CS Real Volatility, CS Real History as well as CS Real Performance.
  
Please specify CS Real's target price for which you would like CS Real odds to be computed.

CS Real Target Price Odds to finish below 234.21

The tendency of SIAT Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to ₣ 234.21  or more in 90 days
 248.00 90 days 234.21 
about 21.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CS Real to drop to ₣ 234.21  or more in 90 days from now is about 21.83 (This CS Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of SIAT Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CS Real Estate price to stay between ₣ 234.21  and its current price of ₣248.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CS Real Estate has a beta of -0.21. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CS Real are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CS Real Estate is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CS Real Estate has an alpha of 0.1271, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CS Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CS Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CS Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
247.07248.00248.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
239.92240.85272.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
242.84243.77244.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
237.15245.50253.85
Details

CS Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CS Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CS Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CS Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CS Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
5.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

CS Real Technical Analysis

CS Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SIAT Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CS Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing SIAT Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CS Real Predictive Forecast Models

CS Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many CS Real's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CS Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards CS Real in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, CS Real's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from CS Real options trading.

Other Information on Investing in SIAT Fund

CS Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether SIAT Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SIAT with respect to the benefits of owning CS Real security.
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