Sit Quality Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.48

SQIFX Fund  USD 9.48  0.01  0.11%   
Sit Quality's future price is the expected price of Sit Quality instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sit Quality Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sit Quality Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Sit Quality Correlation, Sit Quality Hype Analysis, Sit Quality Volatility, Sit Quality History as well as Sit Quality Performance.
  
Please specify Sit Quality's target price for which you would like Sit Quality odds to be computed.

Sit Quality Target Price Odds to finish over 9.48

The tendency of Sit Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.48 90 days 9.48 
about 86.41
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sit Quality to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.41 (This Sit Quality Income probability density function shows the probability of Sit Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sit Quality Income has a beta of -0.0428. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sit Quality are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sit Quality Income is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sit Quality Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sit Quality Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sit Quality

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sit Quality Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.339.489.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.979.1210.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.329.479.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.479.489.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sit Quality. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sit Quality's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sit Quality's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sit Quality Income.

Sit Quality Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sit Quality is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sit Quality's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sit Quality Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sit Quality within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0047
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.85

Sit Quality Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sit Quality for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sit Quality Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sit Quality Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 95.94% of its assets in bonds

Sit Quality Technical Analysis

Sit Quality's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sit Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sit Quality Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sit Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sit Quality Predictive Forecast Models

Sit Quality's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sit Quality's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sit Quality's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sit Quality Income

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sit Quality for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sit Quality Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sit Quality Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 95.94% of its assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Sit Mutual Fund

Sit Quality financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sit Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sit with respect to the benefits of owning Sit Quality security.
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