Serco (UK) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 157.00
| SRP Stock | 157.00 1.30 0.83% |
Serco |
Serco Target Price Odds to finish over 157.00
The tendency of Serco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 157.00 | 90 days | 157.00 | roughly 96.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Serco to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Serco Group probability density function shows the probability of Serco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Serco has a beta of 0.25. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Serco average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Serco Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Serco Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Serco Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Serco
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Serco Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Serco Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Serco is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Serco's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Serco Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Serco within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Serco Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Serco for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Serco Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Serco Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 4th of October 2024 Serco paid 0.0134 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Serco Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Serco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Serco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Serco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 94.4 M |
Serco Technical Analysis
Serco's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Serco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Serco Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Serco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Serco Predictive Forecast Models
Serco's time-series forecasting models is one of many Serco's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Serco's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Serco Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Serco for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Serco Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Serco Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 4th of October 2024 Serco paid 0.0134 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Other Information on Investing in Serco Stock
Serco financial ratios help investors to determine whether Serco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Serco with respect to the benefits of owning Serco security.