Stem Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.75
| STEM Stock | USD 12.75 0.76 6.34% |
Closest to current price Stem long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Stem Target Price Odds to finish over 12.75
The tendency of Stem Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 12.75 | 90 days | 12.75 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stem to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Stem Inc probability density function shows the probability of Stem Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Stem Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Stem
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stem Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stem's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Stem Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stem is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stem's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stem Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stem within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.73 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Stem Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stem for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stem Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Stem Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Stem Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Stem Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 144.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (854.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36.37 M. | |
| Stem Inc currently holds about 334.89 M in cash with (36.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.17. | |
| Stem Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Challenge Island, STEM Education Franchise Icon, Ranks on Entrepreneur Magazines Esteemed Franchise 500 for the Ninth Year in a Row |
Stem Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stem Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stem's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stem's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 56.3 M |
Stem Technical Analysis
Stem's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stem Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stem Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stem Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Stem Predictive Forecast Models
Stem's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stem's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stem's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Stem Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Stem for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stem Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Stem Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Stem Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Stem Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 144.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (854.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36.37 M. | |
| Stem Inc currently holds about 334.89 M in cash with (36.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.17. | |
| Stem Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Challenge Island, STEM Education Franchise Icon, Ranks on Entrepreneur Magazines Esteemed Franchise 500 for the Ninth Year in a Row |
Check out Stem Analysis, Stem Valuation, Stem Correlation, Stem Hype Analysis, Stem Volatility, Stem Price History as well as Stem Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Will Electrical Components & Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Stem diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stem. If investors know Stem will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Stem data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (13.39) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.305 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate Stem Inc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Stem's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Stem's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stem's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stem is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Stem's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.