Stem Inc Stock Market Outlook

STEM Stock  USD 12.44  0.31  2.43%   
About 55% of Stem's investor base is interested to short. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Stem Inc stock suggests that many investors are impartial at this time. Stem's investing sentiment overview a quick insight into current market opportunities from investing in Stem Inc. Many technical investors use Stem Inc stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets and to time the market correctly.

Comfort Level 45

 Impartial

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Stem's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Stem Inc.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Stem Inc is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Stem's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.

Execute Stem Advice

The Stem recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Stem Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Stem Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Stem's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell StemBuy Stem
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

WeakestDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

RiskyDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Stem Inc has a Mean Deviation of 4.52, Standard Deviation of 5.9 and Variance of 34.76
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Stem and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Stem Inc is not overpriced, please validate all Stem fundamentals, including its total debt, market capitalization, and the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that Stem Inc has a number of shares shorted of 979.64 K, we advise you to double-check Stem Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Stem Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Stem Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Stem Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Stem Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 144.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (854.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36.37 M.
Stem Inc currently holds about 334.89 M in cash with (36.65 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.17.
Stem Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Challenge Island, STEM Education Franchise Icon, Ranks on Entrepreneur Magazines Esteemed Franchise 500 for the Ninth Year in a Row

Stem Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Stem's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Stem's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Stem daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Stem Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Stem returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Stem.
Mean Return
-0.43
Value At Risk
-10.06
Potential Upside
8.29
Standard Deviation
5.90
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Stem historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Stem Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Stem, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Stem Inc back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
State Street Corp2025-06-30
33.1 K
Cohen & Steers Inc2025-06-30
31.9 K
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2025-06-30
30.1 K
Royal Bank Of Canada2025-06-30
25.9 K
Bnp Paribas Arbitrage, Sa2025-06-30
24.5 K
Group One Trading, Lp2025-06-30
24.5 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2025-06-30
23.6 K
Lido Advisors, Llc2025-06-30
22.4 K
Hsbc Holdings Plc2025-06-30
22 K
Rock Point Advisors, Llc2025-03-31
549.3 K
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
386.8 K
Note, although Stem's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Stem Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change To Inventory(1.9M)18.6M(18.3M)2.8M3.2M3.3M
Change In Cash740.8M(659.9M)18.6M(48.4M)(43.6M)(41.4M)
Net Borrowings67.2M(92.3K)421.9M(8.8M)130.5M0.0
Free Cash Flow(111.4M)(110.1M)(225.6M)(48.4M)(43.6M)(45.8M)
Depreciation24.5M41.1M46.3M45.0M51.7M30.4M
Other Non Cash Items10.7M29.2M(40.5M)694.1M798.3M838.2M
Capital Expenditures10.2M4.1M18.2M11.8M10.6M18.1M
Net Income(101.2M)(124.1M)(140.4M)(854.0M)(768.6M)(730.2M)
End Period Cash Flow747.8M87.9M106.5M58.1M66.8M63.5M
Change To Netincome5.9M(109.5M)34.8M35.1M40.4M42.4M

Stem Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Stem or Electrical Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Stem's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Stem stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.73
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.69
σ
Overall volatility
5.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Stem Volatility Alert

Stem Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.01 and kurtosis of 0.52. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Stem's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Stem's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Stem Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Stem's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Stem's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Stem and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Stem or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Stem's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Stem by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Stem to competition
FundamentalsStemPeer Average
Return On Equity-59.21-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0948-0.14
Profit Margin0.62 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.34) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation385.51 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding8.39 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.66 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions27.14 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted979.64 K4.71 M
Price To Earning10.62 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.63 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.65 X11.42 X
Revenue144.58 M9.43 B
Gross Profit36.37 M27.38 B
EBITDA(790.4 M)3.9 B
Net Income(854.01 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents334.89 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.17 X5.01 X
Total Debt542.02 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.90 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.40 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(28.09) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(36.65 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio4.29 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(13.39) X3.12 X
Target Price19.17
Number Of Employees56918.84 K
Beta1.27-0.15
Market Capitalization106.98 M19.03 B
Total Asset437.36 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.63 B)9.33 B
Working Capital7.82 M1.48 B
Current Asset2.11 M9.34 B
Note: Insider Trading [view details]

Stem Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Stem . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Stem Target Price Consensus

Stem target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Stem's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   8  Hold
Most Stem analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Stem stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Stem Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Stem Target Price Projection

Stem's current and average target prices are 12.44 and 19.17, respectively. The current price of Stem is the price at which Stem Inc is currently trading. On the other hand, Stem's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Stem Market Quote on 9th of February 2026

Low Price11.76Odds
High Price12.95Odds

12.44

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Stem Target Price

Low Estimate17.44Odds
High Estimate21.28Odds

19.1667

Historical Lowest Forecast  17.44 Target Price  19.17 Highest Forecast  21.28
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Stem Inc and the information provided on this page.

Stem Analyst Ratings

Stem's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Stem stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Stem's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Stem's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Stem Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Stem Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Stem Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Stem in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Blockchain Thematic Idea Now

Blockchain
Blockchain Theme
Companies across muliple sectors and different technology products and services that are engaged in some capacity with blockchain technolgoy or evolution of cryptocurrency. The Blockchain theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Blockchain Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Stem Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Stem's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Stem's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Stem Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Stem Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Will Electrical Components & Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Stem diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stem. If investors know Stem will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Stem data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
(13.39)
Revenue Per Share
19.968
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.305
Return On Assets
(0.09)
Return On Equity
(59.21)
Investors evaluate Stem Inc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Stem's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Stem's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stem's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stem is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Stem's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.