One Group Hospitality Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.34

STKS Stock  USD 3.53  0.10  2.92%   
One Group's future price is the expected price of One Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of One Group Hospitality performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out One Group Backtesting, One Group Valuation, One Group Correlation, One Group Hype Analysis, One Group Volatility, One Group History as well as One Group Performance.
  
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One Group Target Price Odds to finish over 3.34

The tendency of One Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 3.34  in 90 days
 3.53 90 days 3.34 
about 74.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of One Group to stay above $ 3.34  in 90 days from now is about 74.75 (This One Group Hospitality probability density function shows the probability of One Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of One Group Hospitality price to stay between $ 3.34  and its current price of $3.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.72 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.15 . This usually implies One Group Hospitality market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, One Group is expected to follow. Additionally One Group Hospitality has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   One Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for One Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as One Group Hospitality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.183.537.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.025.289.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.587.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.823.163.50
Details

One Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. One Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the One Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold One Group Hospitality, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of One Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

One Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of One Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for One Group Hospitality can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
One Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
One Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

One Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of One Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential One Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. One Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments21 M

One Group Technical Analysis

One Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. One Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of One Group Hospitality. In general, you should focus on analyzing One Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

One Group Predictive Forecast Models

One Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many One Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary One Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about One Group Hospitality

Checking the ongoing alerts about One Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for One Group Hospitality help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
One Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
One Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for One Stock Analysis

When running One Group's price analysis, check to measure One Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy One Group is operating at the current time. Most of One Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of One Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move One Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of One Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.