Stratus Properties Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.75
| STRS Stock | USD 26.42 0.58 2.15% |
Stratus |
Stratus Properties Target Price Odds to finish below 24.75
The tendency of Stratus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 24.75 or more in 90 days |
| 26.42 | 90 days | 24.75 | about 43.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stratus Properties to drop to $ 24.75 or more in 90 days from now is about 43.71 (This Stratus Properties probability density function shows the probability of Stratus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stratus Properties price to stay between $ 24.75 and its current price of $26.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.91 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.56 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Stratus Properties will likely underperform. Additionally Stratus Properties has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Stratus Properties Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Stratus Properties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stratus Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Stratus Properties Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stratus Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stratus Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stratus Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stratus Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Stratus Properties Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stratus Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stratus Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Stratus Properties had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 17.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.47 M. | |
| Stratus Properties currently holds about 102.37 M in cash with (51.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.37. | |
| Stratus Properties has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 2022 shares by Oasis Management Co Ltd. of Stratus Properties at 27.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Stratus Properties Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stratus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stratus Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stratus Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 31.4 M |
Stratus Properties Technical Analysis
Stratus Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stratus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stratus Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stratus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Stratus Properties Predictive Forecast Models
Stratus Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Stratus Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stratus Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Stratus Properties
Checking the ongoing alerts about Stratus Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stratus Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Stratus Properties had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 17.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.47 M. | |
| Stratus Properties currently holds about 102.37 M in cash with (51.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.37. | |
| Stratus Properties has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 2022 shares by Oasis Management Co Ltd. of Stratus Properties at 27.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Stratus Stock Analysis
When running Stratus Properties' price analysis, check to measure Stratus Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stratus Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Stratus Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stratus Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stratus Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stratus Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.