Swvl Holdings Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.018
| SWVLW Stock | USD 0.02 0.0001 0.56% |
Swvl |
Swvl Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 0.018
The tendency of Swvl Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.02 | about 21.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swvl Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 21.67 (This Swvl Holdings Corp probability density function shows the probability of Swvl Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Swvl Holdings Corp has a beta of -2.12. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Swvl Holdings Corp are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Swvl Holdings is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Swvl Holdings Corp has an alpha of 0.9062, implying that it can generate a 0.91 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Swvl Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Swvl Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swvl Holdings Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Swvl Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swvl Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swvl Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Swvl Holdings Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swvl Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Swvl Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Swvl Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Swvl Holdings Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Swvl Holdings Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Swvl Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Swvl Holdings Shares Rise 19 percent After 4.7M Private Placement - MarketWatch |
Swvl Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Swvl Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Swvl Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swvl Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 M |
Swvl Holdings Technical Analysis
Swvl Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Swvl Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Swvl Holdings Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Swvl Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Swvl Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Swvl Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Swvl Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Swvl Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Swvl Holdings Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Swvl Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Swvl Holdings Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Swvl Holdings Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Swvl Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Swvl Holdings Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Swvl Holdings Shares Rise 19 percent After 4.7M Private Placement - MarketWatch |
Additional Tools for Swvl Stock Analysis
When running Swvl Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Swvl Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swvl Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Swvl Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swvl Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swvl Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swvl Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.