Swvl Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

Swvl Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Swvl price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Swvl using various technical indicators. When you analyze Swvl charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Swvl Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Swvl Holdings Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Swvl Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Swvl Holdings Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0005, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000056, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03.

Swvl Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Swvl Holdings Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Swvl Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Swvl Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Swvl Holdings Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Swvl Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Swvl Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swvl Holdings Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.00 0.01 9.70 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.00 0.01 9.70 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 0.01 0.01 0.01 Details

Swvl Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Swvl Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Swvl Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Swvl Holdings Hype Timeline

Swvl Holdings Corp is at this time traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Swvl is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.0126 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 28.59%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.41%. The volatility of related hype on Swvl Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.01. Swvl Holdings Corp has accumulated 1.21 M in total debt. Note, when we think about Swvl Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Swvl Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

Swvl Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Swvl Holdings

For every potential investor in Swvl, whether a beginner or expert, Swvl Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Swvl Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Swvl. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Swvl Holdings' price trends.

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