Proshares Sp Technology Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 76.74
| TDV Etf | USD 77.47 0.44 0.57% |
ProShares |
ProShares Target Price Odds to finish over 76.74
The tendency of ProShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 76.74 in 90 days |
| 77.47 | 90 days | 76.74 | about 36.37 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ProShares to stay above $ 76.74 in 90 days from now is about 36.37 (This ProShares SP Technology probability density function shows the probability of ProShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ProShares SP Technology price to stay between $ 76.74 and its current price of $77.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.01 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.12 . This usually implies ProShares SP Technology market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, ProShares is expected to follow. Additionally ProShares SP Technology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ProShares Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ProShares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ProShares SP Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ProShares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ProShares Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ProShares is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ProShares' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ProShares SP Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ProShares within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
ProShares Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ProShares for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ProShares SP Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.ProShares Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ProShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ProShares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ProShares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
ProShares Technical Analysis
ProShares' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ProShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ProShares SP Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing ProShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ProShares Predictive Forecast Models
ProShares' time-series forecasting models is one of many ProShares' etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ProShares' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ProShares SP Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about ProShares for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ProShares SP Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
When determining whether ProShares SP Technology is a strong investment it is important to analyze ProShares' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ProShares' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ProShares Etf, refer to the following important reports: Check out ProShares Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, ProShares Correlation, ProShares Hype Analysis, ProShares Volatility, ProShares History as well as ProShares Performance. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
The market value of ProShares SP Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ProShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ProShares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ProShares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ProShares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ProShares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProShares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ProShares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.