Proshares Sp Technology Etf Price Prediction
| TDV Etf | USD 90.31 0.50 0.56% |
Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ProShares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ProShares SP Technology from the perspective of ProShares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ProShares using ProShares' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ProShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ProShares' stock price.
ProShares Implied Volatility | 0.24 |
ProShares' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ProShares SP Technology stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ProShares' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ProShares stock will not fluctuate a lot when ProShares' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ProShares to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ProShares because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ProShares after-hype prediction price | USD 90.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ProShares contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ProShares SP Technology will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.015% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With ProShares trading at USD 90.31, that is roughly USD 0.0135 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ProShares' daily price movement you should consider acquiring ProShares SP Technology options at the current volatility level of 0.24%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
ProShares | Build AI portfolio with ProShares Etf |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ProShares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ProShares After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ProShares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ProShares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of ProShares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ProShares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ProShares' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ProShares' historical news coverage. ProShares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 89.23 and 91.39, respectively. We have considered ProShares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ProShares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ProShares SP Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
ProShares Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as ProShares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ProShares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ProShares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.08 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
90.31 | 90.31 | 0.00 |
|
ProShares Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January ProShares SP Technology is traded for 90.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. ProShares is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on ProShares is about 1301.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 90.31. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out ProShares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ProShares Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ProShares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ProShares' future price movements. Getting to know how ProShares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ProShares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DUBS | Aptus Large Cap | 0.11 | 2 per month | 0.80 | (0) | 1.24 | (1.27) | 4.34 | |
| NANC | Unusual Whales Subversive | (0.16) | 2 per month | 0.91 | (0.03) | 1.22 | (1.39) | 4.28 | |
| FXG | First Trust Consumer | (0.23) | 5 per month | 0.70 | (0.04) | 1.35 | (1.11) | 3.17 | |
| FLCG | Federated Hermes ETF | 0.21 | 2 per month | 1.14 | (0.05) | 1.44 | (1.85) | 4.43 | |
| GAUG | FT Cboe Vest | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.28 | (0.11) | 0.54 | (0.49) | 1.82 | |
| RTH | VanEck Retail ETF | (1.21) | 7 per month | 0.49 | 0.04 | 1.43 | (1.12) | 3.63 | |
| CHIQ | Global X MSCI | 0.33 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.47 | (1.93) | 6.15 | |
| ZECP | Zacks Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.52 | (0.01) | 0.91 | (0.80) | 3.00 | |
| VALQ | American Century STOXX | 0.12 | 3 per month | 0.58 | 0.03 | 1.42 | (1.19) | 3.86 | |
| SWAN | Amplify BlackSwan Growth | 0.01 | 11 per month | 0.61 | (0.11) | 0.84 | (0.93) | 2.94 |
ProShares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ProShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ProShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze ProShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ProShares Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ProShares stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ProShares SP Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ProShares based on analysis of ProShares hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ProShares's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ProShares's related companies.
Thematic Opportunities
Explore Investment Opportunities
Check out ProShares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Understanding ProShares SP Technology requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects ProShares's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what ProShares' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push ProShares' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProShares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, ProShares' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.