Track Group Stock Chance of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 11.70
| TRCK Stock | USD 0.15 0.01 6.25% |
Track |
Track Target Price Odds to finish over 11.70
The tendency of Track OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 11.70 or more in 90 days |
| 0.15 | 90 days | 11.70 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Track to move over $ 11.70 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Track Group probability density function shows the probability of Track OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Track Group price to stay between its current price of $ 0.15 and $ 11.70 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.67 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Track Group has a beta of -2.87. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Track Group are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Track is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Track Group has an alpha of 0.4234, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Track Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Track
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Track Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Track's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Track Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Track is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Track's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Track Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Track within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0038 |
Track Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Track for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Track Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Track Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Track Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Track Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 36.97 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 20.87 M. | |
| About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Track Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Track OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Track's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Track's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.9 M |
Track Technical Analysis
Track's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Track OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Track Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Track OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Track Predictive Forecast Models
Track's time-series forecasting models is one of many Track's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Track's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Track Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Track for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Track Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Track Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Track Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Track Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 36.97 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 20.87 M. | |
| About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Track OTC Stock
Track financial ratios help investors to determine whether Track OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Track with respect to the benefits of owning Track security.