TKH Group (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 33.55
| TWEKA Stock | EUR 31.80 0.08 0.25% |
TKH |
TKH Group Target Price Odds to finish over 33.55
The tendency of TKH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 33.55 or more in 90 days |
| 31.80 | 90 days | 33.55 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TKH Group to move over € 33.55 or more in 90 days from now is under 95 (This TKH Group NV probability density function shows the probability of TKH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TKH Group NV price to stay between its current price of € 31.80 and € 33.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TKH Group has a beta of 0.75. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TKH Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TKH Group NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TKH Group NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. TKH Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TKH Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TKH Group NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TKH Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TKH Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TKH Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TKH Group NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TKH Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
TKH Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TKH Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TKH Group NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TKH Group NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has €271.28 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
TKH Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TKH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TKH Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TKH Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.2 M |
TKH Group Technical Analysis
TKH Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TKH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TKH Group NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing TKH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TKH Group Predictive Forecast Models
TKH Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many TKH Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TKH Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TKH Group NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about TKH Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TKH Group NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TKH Group NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has €271.28 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in TKH Stock
TKH Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether TKH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TKH with respect to the benefits of owning TKH Group security.