URW EO (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.1
| UBLB Stock | EUR 3.76 0.02 0.53% |
URW |
URW EO Target Price Odds to finish below 3.1
The tendency of URW Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 3.10 or more in 90 days |
| 3.76 | 90 days | 3.10 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of URW EO to drop to € 3.10 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This URW EO 05 probability density function shows the probability of URW Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of URW EO 05 price to stay between € 3.10 and its current price of €3.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon URW EO has a beta of 0.27. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, URW EO average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding URW EO 05 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally URW EO 05 has an alpha of 0.073, implying that it can generate a 0.073 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). URW EO Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for URW EO
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as URW EO 05. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.URW EO Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. URW EO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the URW EO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold URW EO 05, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of URW EO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0062 |
URW EO Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of URW EO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for URW EO 05 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| URW EO 05 has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| URW EO 05 has accumulated 29.83 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.31, which is about average as compared to similar companies. URW EO 05 has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist URW EO until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, URW EO's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like URW EO 05 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for URW to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about URW EO's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 2.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (7.21 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 866.3 M. |
URW EO Technical Analysis
URW EO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. URW Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of URW EO 05. In general, you should focus on analyzing URW Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
URW EO Predictive Forecast Models
URW EO's time-series forecasting models is one of many URW EO's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary URW EO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about URW EO 05
Checking the ongoing alerts about URW EO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for URW EO 05 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| URW EO 05 has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| URW EO 05 has accumulated 29.83 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.31, which is about average as compared to similar companies. URW EO 05 has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist URW EO until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, URW EO's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like URW EO 05 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for URW to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about URW EO's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 2.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (7.21 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 866.3 M. |
Other Information on Investing in URW Stock
URW EO financial ratios help investors to determine whether URW Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in URW with respect to the benefits of owning URW EO security.