Ubs Group Ag Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.61
| UBS Stock | USD 31.80 0.06 0.19% |
UBS |
UBS Group Target Price Odds to finish below 31.61
The tendency of UBS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 31.61 or more in 90 days |
| 31.80 | 90 days | 31.61 | about 65.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of UBS Group to drop to $ 31.61 or more in 90 days from now is about 65.7 (This UBS Group AG probability density function shows the probability of UBS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of UBS Group AG price to stay between $ 31.61 and its current price of $31.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.87 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.26 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, UBS Group will likely underperform. Additionally UBS Group AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. UBS Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for UBS Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UBS Group AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.UBS Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. UBS Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the UBS Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UBS Group AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of UBS Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
UBS Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of UBS Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for UBS Group AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| UBS Group AG has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zerohedge.com: Millions Of Missing Oil Barrels Throw A Wrench In The IEAs Bearish Demand Forecast |
UBS Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of UBS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential UBS Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. UBS Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 319.4 B |
UBS Group Technical Analysis
UBS Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. UBS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UBS Group AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing UBS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
UBS Group Predictive Forecast Models
UBS Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many UBS Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary UBS Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about UBS Group AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about UBS Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for UBS Group AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| UBS Group AG has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zerohedge.com: Millions Of Missing Oil Barrels Throw A Wrench In The IEAs Bearish Demand Forecast |
Additional Tools for UBS Stock Analysis
When running UBS Group's price analysis, check to measure UBS Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UBS Group is operating at the current time. Most of UBS Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UBS Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UBS Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UBS Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.