United Community Banks, Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 34.15
| UCB Stock | 34.27 1.14 3.44% |
United |
United Community Target Price Odds to finish below 34.15
The tendency of United Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 34.15 or more in 90 days |
| 34.27 | 90 days | 34.15 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United Community to drop to 34.15 or more in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This United Community Banks, probability density function shows the probability of United Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of United Community Banks, price to stay between 34.15 and its current price of 34.27 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.41 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, United Community will likely underperform. Additionally United Community Banks, has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. United Community Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for United Community
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Community Banks,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Community's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
United Community Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United Community is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United Community's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United Community Banks,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United Community within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
United Community Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United Community for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United Community Banks, can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| United Community has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 4th of October 2024 United Community paid 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from americanbanker.com: Truist commits 725 million to help Western N.C. rebuild after Helene |
United Community Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of United Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential United Community's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Community's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 117.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.3 B |
United Community Technical Analysis
United Community's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. United Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of United Community Banks,. In general, you should focus on analyzing United Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
United Community Predictive Forecast Models
United Community's time-series forecasting models is one of many United Community's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary United Community's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about United Community Banks,
Checking the ongoing alerts about United Community for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for United Community Banks, help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| United Community has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 4th of October 2024 United Community paid 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from americanbanker.com: Truist commits 725 million to help Western N.C. rebuild after Helene |
Check out United Community Backtesting, United Community Valuation, United Community Correlation, United Community Hype Analysis, United Community Volatility, United Community History as well as United Community Performance. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Community. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Community listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Dividend Share 0.93 | Earnings Share 1.53 | Revenue Per Share 6.912 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of United Community Banks, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Community's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Community's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Community's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Community's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Community's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Community is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Community's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.