Unico American Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0017

UNAM Stock  USD 0.06  0.01  9.09%   
Unico American's future price is the expected price of Unico American instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Unico American performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Unico American Backtesting, Unico American Valuation, Unico American Correlation, Unico American Hype Analysis, Unico American Volatility, Unico American History as well as Unico American Performance.
  
Please specify Unico American's target price for which you would like Unico American odds to be computed.

Unico American Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0017

The tendency of Unico Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0  in 90 days
 0.06 90 days 0 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Unico American to stay above $ 0  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Unico American probability density function shows the probability of Unico Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Unico American price to stay between $ 0  and its current price of $0.06 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.16 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Unico American will likely underperform. Additionally Unico American has an alpha of 0.2477, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Unico American Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Unico American

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Unico American. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.064.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.054.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.064.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.050.060.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Unico American. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Unico American's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Unico American's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Unico American.

Unico American Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Unico American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Unico American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Unico American, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Unico American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.16
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Unico American Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Unico American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Unico American can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Unico American has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Unico American had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Unico American until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Unico American's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Unico American sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Unico to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Unico American's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Unico American reported the previous year's revenue of 36.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.2 M.
Unico American currently holds about 11.65 M in cash with (7.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.2, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Unico American Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Unico Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Unico American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Unico American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments88.8 M

Unico American Technical Analysis

Unico American's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Unico Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Unico American. In general, you should focus on analyzing Unico Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Unico American Predictive Forecast Models

Unico American's time-series forecasting models is one of many Unico American's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Unico American's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Unico American

Checking the ongoing alerts about Unico American for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Unico American help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Unico American has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Unico American had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Unico American until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Unico American's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Unico American sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Unico to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Unico American's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Unico American reported the previous year's revenue of 36.39 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.67 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.2 M.
Unico American currently holds about 11.65 M in cash with (7.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.2, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Unico Pink Sheet

Unico American financial ratios help investors to determine whether Unico Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Unico with respect to the benefits of owning Unico American security.