ANZNZ 345 17 JUL 27 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 96.81

00182EBF5   96.81  0.00  0.00%   
ANZNZ's future price is the expected price of ANZNZ instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ANZNZ 345 17 JUL 27 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ANZNZ Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, ANZNZ Correlation, ANZNZ Hype Analysis, ANZNZ Volatility, ANZNZ History as well as ANZNZ Performance.
  
Please specify ANZNZ's target price for which you would like ANZNZ odds to be computed.

ANZNZ Target Price Odds to finish over 96.81

The tendency of ANZNZ Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 96.81 90 days 96.81 
about 29.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ANZNZ to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 29.82 (This ANZNZ 345 17 JUL 27 probability density function shows the probability of ANZNZ Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ANZNZ has a beta of 0.076. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, ANZNZ average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ANZNZ 345 17 JUL 27 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ANZNZ 345 17 JUL 27 has an alpha of 0.0579, implying that it can generate a 0.0579 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ANZNZ Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ANZNZ

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ANZNZ 345 17. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.5796.8197.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
95.5795.81106.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.1096.3396.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
96.5297.0597.59
Details

ANZNZ Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ANZNZ is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ANZNZ's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ANZNZ 345 17 JUL 27, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ANZNZ within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
2.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

ANZNZ Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ANZNZ for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ANZNZ 345 17 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ANZNZ 345 17 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

ANZNZ Technical Analysis

ANZNZ's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ANZNZ Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ANZNZ 345 17 JUL 27. In general, you should focus on analyzing ANZNZ Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ANZNZ Predictive Forecast Models

ANZNZ's time-series forecasting models is one of many ANZNZ's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ANZNZ's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ANZNZ 345 17

Checking the ongoing alerts about ANZNZ for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ANZNZ 345 17 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ANZNZ 345 17 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in ANZNZ Bond

ANZNZ financial ratios help investors to determine whether ANZNZ Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ANZNZ with respect to the benefits of owning ANZNZ security.