SEB 85 02 SEP 25 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 90.94

83051GAR9   90.94  0.00  0.00%   
83051GAR9's future price is the expected price of 83051GAR9 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SEB 85 02 SEP 25 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 83051GAR9 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 83051GAR9 Correlation, 83051GAR9 Hype Analysis, 83051GAR9 Volatility, 83051GAR9 History as well as 83051GAR9 Performance.
  
Please specify 83051GAR9's target price for which you would like 83051GAR9 odds to be computed.

83051GAR9 Target Price Odds to finish over 90.94

The tendency of 83051GAR9 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 90.94 90 days 90.94 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 83051GAR9 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This SEB 85 02 SEP 25 probability density function shows the probability of 83051GAR9 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SEB 85 02 SEP 25 has a beta of -0.15. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 83051GAR9 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SEB 85 02 SEP 25 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SEB 85 02 SEP 25 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   83051GAR9 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 83051GAR9

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SEB 85 02. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.7490.9492.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.4877.68100.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
88.2589.4590.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
93.1096.4099.69
Details

83051GAR9 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 83051GAR9 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 83051GAR9's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SEB 85 02 SEP 25, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 83051GAR9 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
1.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

83051GAR9 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 83051GAR9 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SEB 85 02 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SEB 85 02 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

83051GAR9 Technical Analysis

83051GAR9's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 83051GAR9 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SEB 85 02 SEP 25. In general, you should focus on analyzing 83051GAR9 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

83051GAR9 Predictive Forecast Models

83051GAR9's time-series forecasting models is one of many 83051GAR9's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 83051GAR9's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SEB 85 02

Checking the ongoing alerts about 83051GAR9 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SEB 85 02 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SEB 85 02 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 83051GAR9 Bond

83051GAR9 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 83051GAR9 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 83051GAR9 with respect to the benefits of owning 83051GAR9 security.