Victory Capital Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 60.12
| VCTR Stock | USD 68.44 0.06 0.09% |
Victory |
Victory Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 60.12
The tendency of Victory Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 60.12 or more in 90 days |
| 68.44 | 90 days | 60.12 | about 68.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Victory Capital to drop to $ 60.12 or more in 90 days from now is about 68.85 (This Victory Capital Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Victory Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Victory Capital Holdings price to stay between $ 60.12 and its current price of $68.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.73 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.04 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Victory Capital will likely underperform. Additionally Victory Capital Holdings has an alpha of 0.2192, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Victory Capital Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Victory Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Victory Capital Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Victory Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Victory Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Victory Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Victory Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Victory Capital Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Victory Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Victory Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Victory Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Victory Capital Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Victory Capital Holdings currently holds 1 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.0, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Victory Capital Holdings has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Victory Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 74.0% of Victory Capital outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 25th of September 2024 Victory Capital paid $ 0.41 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Victory Capital Upgraded to Strong Buy Heres Why |
Victory Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Victory Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Victory Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Victory Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 68.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 123.5 M |
Victory Capital Technical Analysis
Victory Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Victory Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Victory Capital Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Victory Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Victory Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Victory Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Victory Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Victory Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Victory Capital Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Victory Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Victory Capital Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Victory Capital Holdings currently holds 1 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.0, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Victory Capital Holdings has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Victory Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 74.0% of Victory Capital outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 25th of September 2024 Victory Capital paid $ 0.41 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Victory Capital Upgraded to Strong Buy Heres Why |
Additional Tools for Victory Stock Analysis
When running Victory Capital's price analysis, check to measure Victory Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Victory Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Victory Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Victory Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Victory Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Victory Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.