Valora Cri (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 76.95
| VGIP11 Fund | BRL 72.19 2.65 3.54% |
Valora |
Valora Cri Target Price Odds to finish below 76.95
The tendency of Valora Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under R$ 76.95 after 90 days |
| 72.19 | 90 days | 76.95 | about 7.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Valora Cri to stay under R$ 76.95 after 90 days from now is about 7.6 (This Valora Cri Indice probability density function shows the probability of Valora Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Valora Cri Indice price to stay between its current price of R$ 72.19 and R$ 76.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Valora Cri has a beta of 0.0044. This entails as returns on the market go up, Valora Cri average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Valora Cri Indice will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Valora Cri Indice has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Valora Cri Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Valora Cri
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Valora Cri Indice. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Valora Cri Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Valora Cri is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Valora Cri's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Valora Cri Indice, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Valora Cri within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.39 |
Valora Cri Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Valora Cri for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Valora Cri Indice can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Valora Cri Indice generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Valora Cri Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Valora Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Valora Cri's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Valora Cri's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 21.96k | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 20.24k |
Valora Cri Technical Analysis
Valora Cri's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Valora Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Valora Cri Indice. In general, you should focus on analyzing Valora Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Valora Cri Predictive Forecast Models
Valora Cri's time-series forecasting models is one of many Valora Cri's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Valora Cri's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Valora Cri Indice
Checking the ongoing alerts about Valora Cri for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Valora Cri Indice help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Valora Cri Indice generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Valora Fund
Valora Cri financial ratios help investors to determine whether Valora Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Valora with respect to the benefits of owning Valora Cri security.
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