Valuence Merger Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.52
| VMCA Stock | USD 11.51 0.01 0.09% |
Valuence |
Valuence Merger Target Price Odds to finish below 11.52
The tendency of Valuence Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 11.52 after 90 days |
| 11.51 | 90 days | 11.52 | about 64.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Valuence Merger to stay under $ 11.52 after 90 days from now is about 64.35 (This Valuence Merger Corp probability density function shows the probability of Valuence Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Valuence Merger Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 11.51 and $ 11.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.59 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Valuence Merger Corp has a beta of -0.0338. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Valuence Merger are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Valuence Merger Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Valuence Merger Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Valuence Merger Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Valuence Merger
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Valuence Merger Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Valuence Merger's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Valuence Merger Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Valuence Merger is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Valuence Merger's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Valuence Merger Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Valuence Merger within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0058 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.78 |
Valuence Merger Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Valuence Merger for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Valuence Merger Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Valuence Merger Corp currently holds 2.26 M in liabilities. Valuence Merger Corp has a current ratio of 0.28, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Valuence Merger's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Valuence Merger Corp currently holds about 544.77 K in cash with (708.53 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. |
Valuence Merger Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Valuence Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Valuence Merger's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Valuence Merger's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 684.8 K |
Valuence Merger Technical Analysis
Valuence Merger's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Valuence Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Valuence Merger Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Valuence Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Valuence Merger Predictive Forecast Models
Valuence Merger's time-series forecasting models is one of many Valuence Merger's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Valuence Merger's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Valuence Merger Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Valuence Merger for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Valuence Merger Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Valuence Merger Corp currently holds 2.26 M in liabilities. Valuence Merger Corp has a current ratio of 0.28, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Valuence Merger's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Valuence Merger Corp currently holds about 544.77 K in cash with (708.53 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. |
Check out Valuence Merger Backtesting, Valuence Merger Valuation, Valuence Merger Correlation, Valuence Merger Hype Analysis, Valuence Merger Volatility, Valuence Merger History as well as Valuence Merger Performance. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Valuence Merger. If investors know Valuence will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Valuence Merger listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.77) | Earnings Share 0.15 | Return On Assets (0.02) |
The market value of Valuence Merger Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Valuence that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Valuence Merger's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Valuence Merger's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Valuence Merger's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Valuence Merger's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Valuence Merger's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Valuence Merger is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Valuence Merger's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.