Vast Renewables Limited Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.58
| VSTE Stock | USD 1.65 0.20 13.79% |
Vast |
Vast Renewables Target Price Odds to finish below 1.58
The tendency of Vast Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.58 or more in 90 days |
| 1.65 | 90 days | 1.58 | about 53.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vast Renewables to drop to $ 1.58 or more in 90 days from now is about 53.06 (This Vast Renewables Limited probability density function shows the probability of Vast Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vast Renewables price to stay between $ 1.58 and its current price of $1.65 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.72 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vast Renewables Limited has a beta of -3.59. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Vast Renewables Limited are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Vast Renewables is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Vast Renewables Limited has an alpha of 2.3027, implying that it can generate a 2.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vast Renewables Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vast Renewables
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vast Renewables. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vast Renewables' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vast Renewables Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vast Renewables is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vast Renewables' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vast Renewables Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vast Renewables within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Vast Renewables Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vast Renewables for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vast Renewables can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vast Renewables is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Vast Renewables may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Vast Renewables appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Vast Renewables has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 342 K. Net Loss for the year was (293.44 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Vast Renewables Limited currently holds about 1.83 B in cash with (40.31 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.28, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Vast Renewables has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: U.S. shares higher at close of trade Dow Jones Industrial Average up 3.55 percent - MSN |
Vast Renewables Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vast Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vast Renewables' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vast Renewables' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.1 M |
Vast Renewables Technical Analysis
Vast Renewables' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vast Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vast Renewables Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vast Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vast Renewables Predictive Forecast Models
Vast Renewables' time-series forecasting models is one of many Vast Renewables' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vast Renewables' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vast Renewables
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vast Renewables for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vast Renewables help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vast Renewables is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Vast Renewables may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Vast Renewables appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Vast Renewables has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 342 K. Net Loss for the year was (293.44 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Vast Renewables Limited currently holds about 1.83 B in cash with (40.31 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.28, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Vast Renewables has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: U.S. shares higher at close of trade Dow Jones Industrial Average up 3.55 percent - MSN |
Check out Vast Renewables Backtesting, Vast Renewables Valuation, Vast Renewables Correlation, Vast Renewables Hype Analysis, Vast Renewables Volatility, Vast Renewables History as well as Vast Renewables Performance. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vast Renewables. If investors know Vast will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vast Renewables listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (17.50) | Revenue Per Share 0.02 | Return On Assets (1.24) |
The market value of Vast Renewables is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vast that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vast Renewables' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vast Renewables' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vast Renewables' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vast Renewables' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vast Renewables' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vast Renewables is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vast Renewables' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.