Ventas Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 50.13

VTR Stock  USD 62.77  0.51  0.82%   
Ventas' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Ventas Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Ventas based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Ventas Inc over a specific time period. For example, VTR Option Call 20-12-2024 62 is a CALL option contract on Ventas' common stock with a strick price of 62.5 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-11-29 at 11:20:39 for $2.75 and, as of today, has 16 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.25, and an ask price of $1.35. The implied volatility as of the 4th of December is 16.0. View All Ventas options

Closest to current price Ventas long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Ventas' future price is the expected price of Ventas instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ventas Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ventas Backtesting, Ventas Valuation, Ventas Correlation, Ventas Hype Analysis, Ventas Volatility, Ventas History as well as Ventas Performance.
  
At this time, Ventas' Price Book Value Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/04/2024, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 56.45, though Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to (464.33). Please specify Ventas' target price for which you would like Ventas odds to be computed.

Ventas Target Price Odds to finish over 50.13

The tendency of Ventas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 50.13  in 90 days
 62.77 90 days 50.13 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ventas to stay above $ 50.13  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Ventas Inc probability density function shows the probability of Ventas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ventas Inc price to stay between $ 50.13  and its current price of $62.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.59 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Ventas Inc has a beta of -0.19. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ventas are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ventas Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ventas Inc has an alpha of 0.0443, implying that it can generate a 0.0443 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ventas Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ventas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ventas Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ventas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.5562.7964.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.3951.6369.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
62.2163.4664.70
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
45.5050.0055.50
Details

Ventas Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ventas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ventas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ventas Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ventas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
1.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Ventas Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ventas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ventas Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ventas Inc has 13.69 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.16, which is OK given its current industry classification. Ventas Inc has a current ratio of 0.46, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Ventas to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 4.5 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (40.97 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.81 B.
Ventas Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of Ventas outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 17th of October 2024 Ventas paid $ 0.45 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Ventass SWOT analysis healthcare REIT stock poised for growth amid challenges

Ventas Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ventas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ventas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ventas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding401.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments508.8 M

Ventas Technical Analysis

Ventas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ventas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ventas Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ventas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ventas Predictive Forecast Models

Ventas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Ventas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ventas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ventas Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ventas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ventas Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ventas Inc has 13.69 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.16, which is OK given its current industry classification. Ventas Inc has a current ratio of 0.46, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Ventas to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 4.5 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (40.97 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.81 B.
Ventas Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of Ventas outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 17th of October 2024 Ventas paid $ 0.45 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Ventass SWOT analysis healthcare REIT stock poised for growth amid challenges

Additional Tools for Ventas Stock Analysis

When running Ventas' price analysis, check to measure Ventas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ventas is operating at the current time. Most of Ventas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ventas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ventas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ventas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.