Ventas Stock Forward View
| VTR Stock | USD 76.87 0.80 1.03% |
Ventas Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Ventas' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Ventas' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Ventas fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Ventas' share price is at 51. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ventas, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.016 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.09 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.27 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.565 | Wall Street Target Price 85.9 |
Using Ventas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ventas Inc from the perspective of Ventas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ventas using Ventas' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ventas using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ventas' stock price.
Ventas Short Interest
An investor who is long Ventas may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Ventas and may potentially protect profits, hedge Ventas with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 70.1613 | Short Percent 0.0361 | Short Ratio 5.09 | Shares Short Prior Month 16.2 M | 50 Day MA 78.3108 |
Ventas Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ventas Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 76.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.66.Ventas Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ventas' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ventas. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ventas can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ventas Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ventas' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ventas.
Ventas Implied Volatility | 0.36 |
Ventas' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ventas Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ventas' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ventas stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ventas' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ventas Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 76.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.66. Ventas after-hype prediction price | USD 76.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ventas to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ventas contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ventas Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0225% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Ventas trading at USD 76.87, that is roughly USD 0.0173 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ventas' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ventas Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.36%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Ventas Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Ventas' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Ventas' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Ventas stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Ventas' open interest, investors have to compare it to Ventas' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Ventas is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Ventas. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Ventas Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ventas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ventas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ventas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ventas Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Ventas' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1998-09-30 | Previous Quarter 614.2 M | Current Value 188.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 328.6 M |
Ventas Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ventas Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 76.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72, mean absolute percentage error of 0.82, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ventas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ventas' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ventas Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ventas | Ventas Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Ventas Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ventas' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ventas' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 75.96 and 77.73, respectively. We have considered Ventas' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ventas stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ventas stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.9109 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7157 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0092 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 43.6585 |
Predictive Modules for Ventas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ventas Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ventas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ventas After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ventas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ventas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ventas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ventas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ventas' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ventas' historical news coverage. Ventas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 75.93 and 77.71, respectively. We have considered Ventas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ventas is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ventas Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ventas Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ventas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ventas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ventas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 0.89 | 0.05 | 0.35 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
76.87 | 76.82 | 0.07 |
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Ventas Hype Timeline
On the 1st of February Ventas Inc is traded for 76.87. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.35. Ventas is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 76.82. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 130.88%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Ventas is about 17.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 76.52. About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Ventas was at this time reported as 26.33. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.74. Ventas Inc last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. The entity had 8757:10000 split on the 18th of August 2015. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ventas to cross-verify your projections.Ventas Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ventas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ventas' future price movements. Getting to know how Ventas' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ventas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EXR | Extra Space Storage | 3.93 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.50 | (2.01) | 5.57 | |
| CSGP | CoStar Group | (56.38) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.64 | (5.02) | 10.88 | |
| VICI | VICI Properties | (0.10) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.88 | (1.85) | 4.11 | |
| IRM | Iron Mountain Incorporated | 0.26 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.94 | (4.07) | 10.09 | |
| AVB | AvalonBay Communities | 1.65 | 33 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.92 | (2.28) | 5.11 | |
| EQR | Equity Residential | (0.17) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.06 | (2.24) | 6.31 | |
| DOC | Healthpeak Properties | (0.38) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.18 | (2.48) | 6.71 | |
| SBAC | SBA Communications Corp | (0.95) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.91 | (2.93) | 6.38 | |
| OHI | Omega Healthcare Investors | 0.02 | 10 per month | 1.12 | 0.07 | 2.13 | (1.77) | 8.67 | |
| CCI | Crown Castle | 2.32 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.14 | (3.04) | 7.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ventas
For every potential investor in Ventas, whether a beginner or expert, Ventas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ventas Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ventas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ventas' price trends.Ventas Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ventas stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ventas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ventas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ventas Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ventas stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ventas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ventas stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ventas Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Ventas Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ventas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ventas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ventas stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8139 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7501 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Variance | 1.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8548 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5626 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.01) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ventas
The number of cover stories for Ventas depends on current market conditions and Ventas' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ventas is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ventas' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ventas Short Properties
Ventas' future price predictability will typically decrease when Ventas' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ventas Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ventas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ventas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 416.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 897.9 M |
Additional Tools for Ventas Stock Analysis
When running Ventas' price analysis, check to measure Ventas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ventas is operating at the current time. Most of Ventas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ventas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ventas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ventas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.