Wandisco Plc Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0039
| WANSF Stock | USD 0.25 0.05 25.00% |
WANdisco |
WANdisco Plc Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0039
The tendency of WANdisco Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0 or more in 90 days |
| 0.25 | 90 days | 0 | about 6.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WANdisco Plc to drop to $ 0 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.95 (This WANdisco plc probability density function shows the probability of WANdisco Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of WANdisco plc price to stay between $ 0 and its current price of $0.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.6 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 4.01 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, WANdisco Plc will likely underperform. In addition to that WANdisco plc has an alpha of 24.0902, implying that it can generate a 24.09 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). WANdisco Plc Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for WANdisco Plc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WANdisco plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of WANdisco Plc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
WANdisco Plc Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WANdisco Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WANdisco Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WANdisco plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WANdisco Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 24.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 4.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
WANdisco Plc Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WANdisco Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WANdisco plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| WANdisco plc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| WANdisco plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| WANdisco plc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| WANdisco plc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 7.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (37.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.53 M. | |
| WANdisco plc has accumulated about 32.74 M in cash with (28.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.54, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
WANdisco Plc Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WANdisco Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential WANdisco Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WANdisco Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 59.5 M |
WANdisco Plc Technical Analysis
WANdisco Plc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WANdisco Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WANdisco plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing WANdisco Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
WANdisco Plc Predictive Forecast Models
WANdisco Plc's time-series forecasting models is one of many WANdisco Plc's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WANdisco Plc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about WANdisco plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about WANdisco Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WANdisco plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| WANdisco plc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| WANdisco plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| WANdisco plc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| WANdisco plc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 7.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (37.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.53 M. | |
| WANdisco plc has accumulated about 32.74 M in cash with (28.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.54, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in WANdisco Pink Sheet
WANdisco Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether WANdisco Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WANdisco with respect to the benefits of owning WANdisco Plc security.