Windfall Geotek Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.018
| WINKF Stock | USD 0.01 0 16.67% |
Windfall |
Windfall Geotek Target Price Odds to finish over 0.018
The tendency of Windfall Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.02 or more in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.02 | nearly 4.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Windfall Geotek to move over $ 0.02 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.55 (This Windfall Geotek probability density function shows the probability of Windfall Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Windfall Geotek price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01 and $ 0.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.3 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Windfall Geotek has a beta of 0.85. This entails Windfall Geotek market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Windfall Geotek is expected to follow. In addition to that Windfall Geotek has an alpha of 2.5347, implying that it can generate a 2.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Windfall Geotek Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Windfall Geotek
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Windfall Geotek. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Windfall Geotek Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Windfall Geotek is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Windfall Geotek's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Windfall Geotek, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Windfall Geotek within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Windfall Geotek Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Windfall Geotek for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Windfall Geotek can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Windfall Geotek is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Windfall Geotek has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Windfall Geotek appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Windfall Geotek has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 571.41 K. Net Loss for the year was (5.37 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 571.41 K. | |
| Windfall Geotek has accumulated about 2.72 M in cash with (3.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Windfall Geotek Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Windfall Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Windfall Geotek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Windfall Geotek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 132.7 M |
Windfall Geotek Technical Analysis
Windfall Geotek's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Windfall Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Windfall Geotek. In general, you should focus on analyzing Windfall Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Windfall Geotek Predictive Forecast Models
Windfall Geotek's time-series forecasting models is one of many Windfall Geotek's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Windfall Geotek's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Windfall Geotek
Checking the ongoing alerts about Windfall Geotek for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Windfall Geotek help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Windfall Geotek is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Windfall Geotek has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Windfall Geotek appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Windfall Geotek has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 571.41 K. Net Loss for the year was (5.37 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 571.41 K. | |
| Windfall Geotek has accumulated about 2.72 M in cash with (3.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Other Information on Investing in Windfall Pink Sheet
Windfall Geotek financial ratios help investors to determine whether Windfall Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Windfall with respect to the benefits of owning Windfall Geotek security.