Waste Management Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 234.52

WM Stock  USD 234.52  3.51  1.52%   
Waste Management's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Waste Management. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Waste Management based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Waste Management over a specific time period. For example, WM260417C00230000 is a PUT option contract on Waste Management's common stock with a strick price of 230.0 expiring on 2026-04-17. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 63 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $10.0, and an ask price of $10.4. The implied volatility as of the 13th of February 2026 is 63.0. View All Waste options

Closest to current price Waste long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Waste Management's future price is the expected price of Waste Management instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Waste Management performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Waste Management Analysis, Waste Management Valuation, Waste Management Correlation, Waste Management Hype Analysis, Waste Management Volatility, Waste Management Price History as well as Waste Management Performance.
To learn how to invest in Waste Stock, please use our How to Invest in Waste Management guide.At this time, Waste Management's Price Book Value Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 13th of February 2026, Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to grow to 32.99, while Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 21.67. Please specify Waste Management's target price for which you would like Waste Management odds to be computed.

Waste Management Target Price Odds to finish over 234.52

The tendency of Waste Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 234.52 90 days 234.52 
roughly 2.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Waste Management to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.32 (This Waste Management probability density function shows the probability of Waste Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Waste Management has a beta of 0.3. This entails as returns on the market go up, Waste Management average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Waste Management will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Waste Management has an alpha of 0.222, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Waste Management Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Waste Management

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Waste Management. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
234.41235.50236.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
212.24260.78261.87
Details
25 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
229.17251.84279.54
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.571.752.02
Details

Waste Management Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Waste Management is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Waste Management's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Waste Management, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Waste Management within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
7.83
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Waste Management Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Waste Management for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Waste Management can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Waste Management reports 22.91 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.01, which may imply that the company relies heavily on debt financing. Waste Management has a current ratio of 0.83, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Waste to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 84.0% of Waste Management outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 19th of December 2025 Waste Management paid $ 0.825 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: An Intrinsic Calculation For Waste Management, Inc. Suggests Its 22 percent Undervalued

Waste Management Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Waste Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Waste Management's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Waste Management's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding404.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments201 M

Waste Management Technical Analysis

Waste Management's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Waste Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Waste Management. In general, you should focus on analyzing Waste Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Waste Management Predictive Forecast Models

Waste Management's time-series forecasting models is one of many Waste Management's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Waste Management's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Waste Management

Checking the ongoing alerts about Waste Management for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Waste Management help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Waste Management reports 22.91 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.01, which may imply that the company relies heavily on debt financing. Waste Management has a current ratio of 0.83, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Waste to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 84.0% of Waste Management outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 19th of December 2025 Waste Management paid $ 0.825 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: An Intrinsic Calculation For Waste Management, Inc. Suggests Its 22 percent Undervalued
Will Environmental & Facilities Services sector continue expanding? Could Waste diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Waste Management. Anticipated expansion of Waste directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Waste Management data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.236
Dividend Share
3.3
Earnings Share
6.7
Revenue Per Share
62.588
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.071
Waste Management's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Waste's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Waste Management's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Waste Management's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Waste Management's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Waste Management is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Waste Management's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.