Waste Management Valuation

WM Stock  USD 230.25  1.02  0.44%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. Waste Management maintains a prevalent Real Value of $261.59 per share. The last-minute price of the company is $230.25. Our model calculates the value of Waste Management from examining the company fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.10 %, return on asset of 0.0705, and Current Valuation of 115.54 B as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Waste Management's valuation include:
Price Book
9.7016
Enterprise Value
115.5 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
16.9259
Price Sales
3.7262
Forward PE
27.3224
Undervalued
Today
230.25
Please note that Waste Management's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Waste Management is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Waste Management's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Waste stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Waste Management. Since Waste Management is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Waste Stock. However, Waste Management's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  230.25 Real  261.59 Target  248.56 Hype  230.25 Naive  231.23
The intrinsic value of Waste Management's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Waste Management's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
207.23
Downside
261.59
Real Value
262.72
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Waste Management helps investors to forecast how Waste stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Waste Management more accurately as focusing exclusively on Waste Management's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
1.851.881.91
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
229.12230.25231.38
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
2.322.352.38
Details
25 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
226.19248.56275.90
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Waste Management's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Waste Management's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Waste Management's closest peers.

Waste Management Cash

384.05 Million

Waste Revenue by Product

Waste Management Total Value Analysis

Waste Management is at this time expected to have takeover value of 115.54 B with market capitalization of 92.35 B, debt of 23.9 B, and cash on hands of 414 M. Please note that takeover value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting mistakes. We encourage investors to methodically examine all of the Waste Management fundamentals before making investment evaluation based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
115.54 B
92.35 B
23.9 B
414 M

Waste Management Investor Information

About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.72. Waste Management recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.35. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of December 2025. Based on the key indicators related to Waste Management's liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Waste Management may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.190.22
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities6.5 B6.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating IncomeB4.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Waste Management Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Waste Management has an asset utilization ratio of 49.51 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.5 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Waste Management is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Waste Management Profitability Analysis

Based on Waste Management's profitability indicators, Waste Management's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average probability of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Waste Management's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1987-03-31
Previous Quarter
726 M
Current Value
603 M
Quarterly Volatility
270.8 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Waste Management's Gross Profit is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 26th of January 2026, Gross Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.40, while Pretax Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.09.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.40.33
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Net Profit Margin0.0650.11
Way Down
Very volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.190.22
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Pretax Profit Margin0.0880.14
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.03660.0555
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Return On Equity0.310.3
Sufficiently Up
Pretty Stable
For Waste Management profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Waste Management to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Waste Management utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Waste Management's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Waste Management over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Waste Management Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Waste Management is estimated to be 1.876925 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.8475 to a high of 1.9094. Waste Management's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 6.35. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Waste Management is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Waste Management is projected to generate 1.876925 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. Waste Management earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Waste Management EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Waste Management's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Waste Management, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Waste Management Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Waste Management's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Waste Management is estimated to be 1.876925 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.8475 to a high of 1.9094. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Waste Management is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
1.98
1.85
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.876925
1.91
Highest

Waste Management Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Waste Management's value are higher than the current market price of the Waste Management stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Waste Management is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Waste Management's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2025Current EPS (TTM)
2795.4%
1.98
1.876925
6.35

Waste Management Ownership Allocation

Waste Management retains a total of 402.87 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Waste Management outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These institutions are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to purchase positions in Waste Management to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, other corporate entities are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Waste Management. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Waste Management as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. On January 15, 2026, Representative Rick Larsen of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Waste Management's common stock.

Waste Management Profitability Analysis

The company generated the yearly revenue of 22.06 B. Reported Net Income was 2.75 B with gross profit of 9.91 B.

Waste Management Past Distributions to stockholders

About Waste Management Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Waste Management. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Waste Management based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Waste Management's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Waste Management's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Waste Management. We calculate exposure to Waste Management's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Waste Management's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit7.4 B7.7 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.14  0.09 
Operating Profit Margin 0.22  0.19 
Net Profit Margin 0.11  0.07 
Gross Profit Margin 0.33  0.40 
Waste Management's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Waste Management's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Waste Management can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Waste Management represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Waste, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Waste Management Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Waste Management's Dividend Yield is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 26th of January 2026, Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to grow to 0.50, though Dividends Paid is likely to grow to (1.3 B). . At this time, Waste Management's Retained Earnings are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 26th of January 2026, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 1.38, while Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop about 9.3 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-1.4 B-1.3 B
Dividend Yield 0.01  0.02 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.40  0.50 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.09  0.90 
There are various types of dividends Waste Management can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Waste shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Waste Management directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Waste pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Waste Management by the value of the dividends paid out.

Waste Management Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Waste Management does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding403.4 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.207
Forward Price Earnings27.3224

Waste Management Current Valuation Indicators

Waste Management's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Waste Management's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Waste Management, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Waste Management's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Waste Management's worth.
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Waste Management. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
To learn how to invest in Waste Stock, please use our How to Invest in Waste Management guide.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Waste Management. If investors know Waste will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Waste Management listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.21)
Dividend Share
3.225
Earnings Share
6.35
Revenue Per Share
61.602
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.149
The market value of Waste Management is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Waste that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Waste Management's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Waste Management's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Waste Management's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Waste Management's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Waste Management's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Waste Management is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Waste Management's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.