West Bancorporation Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.30

WTBA Stock  USD 23.94  0.29  1.23%   
West Bancorporation's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on West Bancorporation. Implied volatility approximates the future value of West Bancorporation based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in West Bancorporation over a specific time period. For example, WTBA Option Call 20-12-2024 22 is a CALL option contract on West Bancorporation's common stock with a strick price of 22.5 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-12-10 at 14:47:34 for $1.5 and, as of today, has 9 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $3.2. The implied volatility as of the 11th of December 2024 is 9.0. View All West options

Closest to current price West long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

West Bancorporation's future price is the expected price of West Bancorporation instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of West Bancorporation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out West Bancorporation Backtesting, West Bancorporation Valuation, West Bancorporation Correlation, West Bancorporation Hype Analysis, West Bancorporation Volatility, West Bancorporation History as well as West Bancorporation Performance.
For information on how to trade West Stock refer to our How to Trade West Stock guide.
  
At present, West Bancorporation's Price To Sales Ratio is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Book Value Ratio is expected to grow to 2.26, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 14.72. Please specify West Bancorporation's target price for which you would like West Bancorporation odds to be computed.

West Bancorporation Target Price Odds to finish below 11.30

The tendency of West Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.30  or more in 90 days
 23.94 90 days 11.30 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of West Bancorporation to drop to $ 11.30  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This West Bancorporation probability density function shows the probability of West Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of West Bancorporation price to stay between $ 11.30  and its current price of $23.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.97 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, West Bancorporation will likely underperform. Additionally West Bancorporation has an alpha of 0.1779, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   West Bancorporation Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for West Bancorporation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as West Bancorporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.7824.1826.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.4621.8624.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.4823.8826.28
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.9317.5019.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as West Bancorporation. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against West Bancorporation's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, West Bancorporation's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in West Bancorporation.

West Bancorporation Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. West Bancorporation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the West Bancorporation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold West Bancorporation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of West Bancorporation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.97
σ
Overall volatility
2.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

West Bancorporation Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of West Bancorporation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for West Bancorporation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 20th of November 2024 West Bancorporation paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Best Income Stocks to Buy for December 10th - Yahoo Finance

West Bancorporation Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of West Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential West Bancorporation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. West Bancorporation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments657.2 M

West Bancorporation Technical Analysis

West Bancorporation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. West Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of West Bancorporation. In general, you should focus on analyzing West Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

West Bancorporation Predictive Forecast Models

West Bancorporation's time-series forecasting models is one of many West Bancorporation's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary West Bancorporation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about West Bancorporation

Checking the ongoing alerts about West Bancorporation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for West Bancorporation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 20th of November 2024 West Bancorporation paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Best Income Stocks to Buy for December 10th - Yahoo Finance
When determining whether West Bancorporation offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of West Bancorporation's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of West Bancorporation Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on West Bancorporation Stock:
Check out West Bancorporation Backtesting, West Bancorporation Valuation, West Bancorporation Correlation, West Bancorporation Hype Analysis, West Bancorporation Volatility, West Bancorporation History as well as West Bancorporation Performance.
For information on how to trade West Stock refer to our How to Trade West Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of West Bancorporation. If investors know West will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about West Bancorporation listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share
1
Earnings Share
1.27
Revenue Per Share
4.613
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.055
Return On Assets
0.0056
The market value of West Bancorporation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of West that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of West Bancorporation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is West Bancorporation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because West Bancorporation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect West Bancorporation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between West Bancorporation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if West Bancorporation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, West Bancorporation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.