West Bancorporation Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| WTBA Stock | USD 22.72 0.83 3.52% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of West Bancorporation on the next trading day is expected to be 24.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.98. West Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast West Bancorporation stock prices and determine the direction of West Bancorporation's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of West Bancorporation's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of West Bancorporation's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.571 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.04 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.4 | Wall Street Target Price 25 |
Using West Bancorporation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of West Bancorporation from the perspective of West Bancorporation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards West Bancorporation using West Bancorporation's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards West using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of West Bancorporation's stock price.
West Bancorporation Implied Volatility | 1.15 |
West Bancorporation's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of West Bancorporation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if West Bancorporation's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that West Bancorporation stock will not fluctuate a lot when West Bancorporation's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of West Bancorporation on the next trading day is expected to be 24.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.98. West Bancorporation after-hype prediction price | USD 22.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of West Bancorporation to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current West contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that West Bancorporation will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0719% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With West Bancorporation trading at USD 22.72, that is roughly USD 0.0163 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating West Bancorporation's daily price movement you should consider acquiring West Bancorporation options at the current volatility level of 1.15%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 West Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast West Bancorporation's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in West Bancorporation's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for West Bancorporation stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current West Bancorporation's open interest, investors have to compare it to West Bancorporation's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of West Bancorporation is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in West. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
West Bancorporation Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine West price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for West using various technical indicators. When you analyze West charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
West Bancorporation Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the West Bancorporation's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2002-03-31 | Previous Quarter 248.2 M | Current Value 136.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 43.1 M |
West Bancorporation Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of West Bancorporation on the next trading day is expected to be 24.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.98.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict West Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that West Bancorporation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
West Bancorporation Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest West Bancorporation | West Bancorporation Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
West Bancorporation Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting West Bancorporation's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. West Bancorporation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.69 and 25.88, respectively. We have considered West Bancorporation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of West Bancorporation stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent West Bancorporation stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.255 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3275 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0146 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 19.9766 |
Predictive Modules for West Bancorporation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as West Bancorporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.West Bancorporation After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of West Bancorporation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in West Bancorporation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of West Bancorporation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
West Bancorporation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting West Bancorporation's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on West Bancorporation's historical news coverage. West Bancorporation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.10 and 24.28, respectively. We have considered West Bancorporation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
West Bancorporation is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of West Bancorporation is based on 3 months time horizon.
West Bancorporation Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as West Bancorporation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading West Bancorporation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with West Bancorporation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.59 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
22.72 | 22.69 | 0.13 |
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West Bancorporation Hype Timeline
West Bancorporation is at this time traded for 22.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. West is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 22.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on West Bancorporation is about 2650.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.73. About 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.56. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. West Bancorporation last dividend was issued on the 5th of November 2025. The entity had 105:100 split on the 22nd of July 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of West Bancorporation to cross-verify your projections.West Bancorporation Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to West Bancorporation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict West Bancorporation's future price movements. Getting to know how West Bancorporation's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how West Bancorporation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GCBC | Greene County Bancorp | (0.01) | 17 per month | 1.73 | 0 | 4.59 | (3.30) | 10.25 | |
| USCB | US Century Bank | 0.10 | 9 per month | 1.03 | 0.15 | 3.59 | (1.89) | 7.02 | |
| SFST | Southern First Bancshares | 1.12 | 8 per month | 0.87 | 0.25 | 4.48 | (2.12) | 10.52 | |
| CARE | Carter Bank and | (0.01) | 11 per month | 1.67 | 0.01 | 3.19 | (3.25) | 7.40 | |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | 0.05 | 10 per month | 0.95 | 0.09 | 2.75 | (2.00) | 7.93 | |
| FRBA | First Bank | (0.01) | 8 per month | 1.26 | 0.05 | 3.29 | (1.82) | 8.53 | |
| BWFG | Bankwell Financial Group | (0.65) | 8 per month | 1.32 | 0.14 | 3.09 | (1.69) | 9.10 | |
| BSRR | Sierra Bancorp | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.78 | 0.20 | 4.28 | (1.69) | 6.92 | |
| BSVN | Bank7 Corp | (1.12) | 8 per month | 1.43 | (0.02) | 2.39 | (2.38) | 5.28 | |
| MVBF | MVB Financial Corp | 1.14 | 9 per month | 1.33 | 0.05 | 3.46 | (2.69) | 8.59 |
Other Forecasting Options for West Bancorporation
For every potential investor in West, whether a beginner or expert, West Bancorporation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. West Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in West. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying West Bancorporation's price trends.West Bancorporation Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with West Bancorporation stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of West Bancorporation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing West Bancorporation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
West Bancorporation Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how West Bancorporation stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading West Bancorporation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying West Bancorporation stock market strength indicators, traders can identify West Bancorporation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 800.86 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.04) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 22.96 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 22.88 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.66) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.83) |
West Bancorporation Risk Indicators
The analysis of West Bancorporation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in West Bancorporation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting west stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Variance | 2.82 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.96 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.4 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.51) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for West Bancorporation
The number of cover stories for West Bancorporation depends on current market conditions and West Bancorporation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that West Bancorporation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about West Bancorporation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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West Bancorporation Short Properties
West Bancorporation's future price predictability will typically decrease when West Bancorporation's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of West Bancorporation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential West Bancorporation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. West Bancorporation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 788 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of West Bancorporation to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade West Stock refer to our How to Trade West Stock guide.You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of West Bancorporation. If investors know West will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about West Bancorporation listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.571 | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 1.83 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.231 |
The market value of West Bancorporation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of West that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of West Bancorporation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is West Bancorporation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because West Bancorporation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect West Bancorporation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between West Bancorporation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if West Bancorporation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, West Bancorporation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.