West Bancorporation Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

WTBA Stock  USD 23.87  0.12  0.50%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of West Bancorporation on the next trading day is expected to be 24.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.08. West Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast West Bancorporation stock prices and determine the direction of West Bancorporation's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of West Bancorporation's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, West Bancorporation's Receivables Turnover is projected to drop slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.04, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to (0.01). . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 56 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 13.8 M.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through West Bancorporation price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

West Bancorporation Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of West Bancorporation on the next trading day is expected to be 24.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87, mean absolute percentage error of 0.99, and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.08.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict West Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that West Bancorporation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

West Bancorporation Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest West BancorporationWest Bancorporation Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

West Bancorporation Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting West Bancorporation's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. West Bancorporation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.94 and 26.78, respectively. We have considered West Bancorporation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.87
24.36
Expected Value
26.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of West Bancorporation stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent West Bancorporation stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.9383
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8722
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0432
SAESum of the absolute errors54.0752
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as West Bancorporation historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for West Bancorporation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as West Bancorporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.6024.0226.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.6020.0226.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
23.5523.9524.36
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.9317.5019.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as West Bancorporation. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against West Bancorporation's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, West Bancorporation's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in West Bancorporation.

Other Forecasting Options for West Bancorporation

For every potential investor in West, whether a beginner or expert, West Bancorporation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. West Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in West. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying West Bancorporation's price trends.

West Bancorporation Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with West Bancorporation stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of West Bancorporation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing West Bancorporation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

West Bancorporation Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of West Bancorporation's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of West Bancorporation's current price.

West Bancorporation Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how West Bancorporation stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading West Bancorporation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying West Bancorporation stock market strength indicators, traders can identify West Bancorporation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

West Bancorporation Risk Indicators

The analysis of West Bancorporation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in West Bancorporation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting west stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether West Bancorporation offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of West Bancorporation's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of West Bancorporation Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on West Bancorporation Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of West Bancorporation to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade West Stock refer to our How to Trade West Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of West Bancorporation. If investors know West will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about West Bancorporation listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share
1
Earnings Share
1.27
Revenue Per Share
4.613
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.055
Return On Assets
0.0056
The market value of West Bancorporation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of West that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of West Bancorporation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is West Bancorporation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because West Bancorporation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect West Bancorporation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between West Bancorporation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if West Bancorporation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, West Bancorporation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.