Abrdn Global Infrastructure Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 20.18
| XAGIX Fund | USD 20.18 0.17 0.84% |
Abrdn |
Abrdn Global Target Price Odds to finish over 20.18
The tendency of Abrdn Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 20.18 | 90 days | 20.18 | about 86.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Abrdn Global to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.15 (This Abrdn Global Infrastructure probability density function shows the probability of Abrdn Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Abrdn Global has a beta of 0.19. This entails as returns on the market go up, Abrdn Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Abrdn Global Infrastructure will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Abrdn Global Infrastructure has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Abrdn Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Abrdn Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Abrdn Global Infrast. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Abrdn Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Abrdn Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Abrdn Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Abrdn Global Infrastructure, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Abrdn Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.31 |
Abrdn Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Abrdn Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Abrdn Global Infrast can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Abrdn Global Infrast generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Abrdn Global Technical Analysis
Abrdn Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Abrdn Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Abrdn Global Infrastructure. In general, you should focus on analyzing Abrdn Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Abrdn Global Predictive Forecast Models
Abrdn Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Abrdn Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Abrdn Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Abrdn Global Infrast
Checking the ongoing alerts about Abrdn Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Abrdn Global Infrast help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Abrdn Global Infrast generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Abrdn Mutual Fund
Abrdn Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Abrdn Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Abrdn with respect to the benefits of owning Abrdn Global security.
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