Xpeng Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.29

XPEV Stock  USD 12.29  0.35  2.77%   
Xpeng's future price is the expected price of Xpeng instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Xpeng Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Xpeng Backtesting, Xpeng Valuation, Xpeng Correlation, Xpeng Hype Analysis, Xpeng Volatility, Xpeng History as well as Xpeng Performance.
  
At this time, Xpeng's Price Book Value Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to climb to 49.11 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop (4.53) in 2024. Please specify Xpeng's target price for which you would like Xpeng odds to be computed.

Xpeng Target Price Odds to finish over 12.29

The tendency of Xpeng Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.29 90 days 12.29 
about 24.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xpeng to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 24.69 (This Xpeng Inc probability density function shows the probability of Xpeng Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Xpeng has a beta of 0.95. This entails Xpeng Inc market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Xpeng is expected to follow. Additionally Xpeng Inc has an alpha of 0.8815, implying that it can generate a 0.88 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Xpeng Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Xpeng

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xpeng Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xpeng's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.8712.2917.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.5211.9417.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.1510.5716.00
Details
28 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.1818.8820.96
Details

Xpeng Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xpeng is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xpeng's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xpeng Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xpeng within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.88
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.95
σ
Overall volatility
2.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Xpeng Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xpeng for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xpeng Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Xpeng Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Xpeng Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 30.68 B. Net Loss for the year was (10.38 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.12 B.
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Xpeng Shares Rise Amid EU Tariff Strategy and Smart Driving Partnerships

Xpeng Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xpeng Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xpeng's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xpeng's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding870.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments38.8 B

Xpeng Technical Analysis

Xpeng's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xpeng Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xpeng Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xpeng Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Xpeng Predictive Forecast Models

Xpeng's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xpeng's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xpeng's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Xpeng Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Xpeng for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xpeng Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Xpeng Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Xpeng Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 30.68 B. Net Loss for the year was (10.38 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.12 B.
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Xpeng Shares Rise Amid EU Tariff Strategy and Smart Driving Partnerships

Additional Tools for Xpeng Stock Analysis

When running Xpeng's price analysis, check to measure Xpeng's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xpeng is operating at the current time. Most of Xpeng's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xpeng's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xpeng's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xpeng to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.