CHINA HUARONG (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0015

XYTA Stock  EUR 0  0.0005  25.00%   
CHINA HUARONG's future price is the expected price of CHINA HUARONG instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CHINA HUARONG ENERHD 50 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CHINA HUARONG Backtesting, CHINA HUARONG Valuation, CHINA HUARONG Correlation, CHINA HUARONG Hype Analysis, CHINA HUARONG Volatility, CHINA HUARONG History as well as CHINA HUARONG Performance.
  
Please specify CHINA HUARONG's target price for which you would like CHINA HUARONG odds to be computed.

CHINA HUARONG Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0015

The tendency of CHINA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0 90 days 0 
about 46.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CHINA HUARONG to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 46.63 (This CHINA HUARONG ENERHD 50 probability density function shows the probability of CHINA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CHINA HUARONG ENERHD 50 has a beta of -6.33. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding CHINA HUARONG ENERHD 50 are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, CHINA HUARONG is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that CHINA HUARONG ENERHD 50 has an alpha of 5.0133, implying that it can generate a 5.01 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CHINA HUARONG Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CHINA HUARONG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CHINA HUARONG ENERHD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.00033.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00033.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.000034033.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CHINA HUARONG. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CHINA HUARONG's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CHINA HUARONG's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CHINA HUARONG ENERHD.

CHINA HUARONG Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CHINA HUARONG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CHINA HUARONG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CHINA HUARONG ENERHD 50, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CHINA HUARONG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
5.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-6.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.0007
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

CHINA HUARONG Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CHINA HUARONG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CHINA HUARONG ENERHD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CHINA HUARONG ENERHD is way too risky over 90 days horizon
CHINA HUARONG ENERHD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
CHINA HUARONG ENERHD appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
CHINA HUARONG ENERHD has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
CHINA HUARONG ENERHD 50 has accumulated 3.63 B in total debt. CHINA HUARONG ENERHD has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CHINA HUARONG until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CHINA HUARONG's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CHINA HUARONG ENERHD sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CHINA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CHINA HUARONG's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 232.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (333.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 53.08 M.
About 52.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

CHINA HUARONG Technical Analysis

CHINA HUARONG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CHINA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CHINA HUARONG ENERHD 50. In general, you should focus on analyzing CHINA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CHINA HUARONG Predictive Forecast Models

CHINA HUARONG's time-series forecasting models is one of many CHINA HUARONG's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CHINA HUARONG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CHINA HUARONG ENERHD

Checking the ongoing alerts about CHINA HUARONG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CHINA HUARONG ENERHD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CHINA HUARONG ENERHD is way too risky over 90 days horizon
CHINA HUARONG ENERHD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
CHINA HUARONG ENERHD appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
CHINA HUARONG ENERHD has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
CHINA HUARONG ENERHD 50 has accumulated 3.63 B in total debt. CHINA HUARONG ENERHD has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CHINA HUARONG until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CHINA HUARONG's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CHINA HUARONG ENERHD sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CHINA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CHINA HUARONG's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 232.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (333.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 53.08 M.
About 52.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in CHINA Stock

CHINA HUARONG financial ratios help investors to determine whether CHINA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CHINA with respect to the benefits of owning CHINA HUARONG security.