Zur Shamir (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 566.62

ZUR Stock  ILS 718.70  11.70  1.65%   
Zur Shamir's future price is the expected price of Zur Shamir instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zur Shamir Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zur Shamir Backtesting, Zur Shamir Valuation, Zur Shamir Correlation, Zur Shamir Hype Analysis, Zur Shamir Volatility, Zur Shamir History as well as Zur Shamir Performance.
  
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Zur Shamir Target Price Odds to finish below 566.62

The tendency of Zur Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to S 566.62  or more in 90 days
 718.70 90 days 566.62 
about 6.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zur Shamir to drop to S 566.62  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.1 (This Zur Shamir Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Zur Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zur Shamir Holdings price to stay between S 566.62  and its current price of S718.7 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zur Shamir has a beta of 0.34. This usually means as returns on the market go up, Zur Shamir average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Zur Shamir Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Zur Shamir Holdings has an alpha of 0.2519, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Zur Shamir Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zur Shamir

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zur Shamir Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
717.13718.70720.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
566.62568.19790.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
728.27729.85731.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
601.28664.25727.22
Details

Zur Shamir Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zur Shamir is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zur Shamir's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zur Shamir Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zur Shamir within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.34
σ
Overall volatility
37.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Zur Shamir Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zur Shamir for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zur Shamir Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zur Shamir Holdings has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Zur Shamir Holdings has accumulated about 2.13 B in cash with (1.07 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 32.96.
Roughly 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Zur Shamir Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zur Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zur Shamir's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zur Shamir's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding65.1 M

Zur Shamir Technical Analysis

Zur Shamir's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zur Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zur Shamir Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zur Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zur Shamir Predictive Forecast Models

Zur Shamir's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zur Shamir's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zur Shamir's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zur Shamir Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zur Shamir for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zur Shamir Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zur Shamir Holdings has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Zur Shamir Holdings has accumulated about 2.13 B in cash with (1.07 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 32.96.
Roughly 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Zur Stock

Zur Shamir financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zur Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zur with respect to the benefits of owning Zur Shamir security.