Cincinnati Financial (UK) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| 0HYE Stock | 155.34 0.34 0.22% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Cincinnati Financial Corp is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Cincinnati Financial Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Cincinnati Financial. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Cincinnati Financial Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Cincinnati Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Cincinnati Stock please use our How to Invest in Cincinnati Financial guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cincinnati and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Cincinnati Financial Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Cincinnati |
Execute Cincinnati Financial Buy or Sell Advice
The Cincinnati recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cincinnati Financial Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cincinnati Financial Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cincinnati Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Cincinnati Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Cincinnati Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Natixis Advisors LLC Buys 13,334 Shares of Cincinnati Financial Co. - MarketBeat |
Cincinnati Financial Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Cincinnati Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cincinnati Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cincinnati Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cincinnati Financial Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cincinnati Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cincinnati Financial.
| Mean Return | 0.27 | Value At Risk | -2.05 | Potential Upside | 2.44 | Standard Deviation | 1.56 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cincinnati Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Cincinnati Financial Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (17M) | 133M | 239M | 125M | (357M) | (339.2M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.2B | 1.5B | 2.0B | 2.0B | 2.0B | 2.1B | |
| Depreciation | 72M | 109M | 118M | 127M | 112M | 117.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (717M) | 158M | (875M) | 2.7B | (1.1B) | (1.0B) | |
| Dividends Paid | 355M | 375M | 395M | 423M | 454M | 230.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 16M | 20M | 24M | 15M | 18M | 19.4M | |
| Net Income | 2.0B | 1.2B | 2.9B | (486M) | 1.8B | 1.9B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 767M | 900M | 1.1B | 1.3B | 907M | 952.4M | |
| Investments | (650M) | (525M) | (1.0B) | (925M) | (832.5M) | (874.1M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 8M | 7M | 15M | (4M) | (3.6M) | (3.4M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (1.2B) | (641M) | (1.8B) | 1.2B | 1.4B | 1.4B |
Cincinnati Financial Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cincinnati Financial or Commercial Services & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cincinnati Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cincinnati stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Cincinnati Financial Volatility Alert
Cincinnati Financial Corp has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.43 and kurtosis of 7.51. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cincinnati Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cincinnati Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Cincinnati Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Cincinnati Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cincinnati Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cincinnati Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cincinnati Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cincinnati Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cincinnati Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Cincinnati Financial to competition |
| Fundamentals | Cincinnati Financial | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.25 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0722 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.25 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.32 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 23.58 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 162.74 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.55 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 67.68 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Sales | 2.07 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 10.01 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (533 M) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 2.44 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.84 B | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 874 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 88.32 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.05 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 12.65 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 5.43 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.67 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.52 T | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 32.77 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 13.08 B | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.0002 % | |
| Net Asset | 32.77 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 3.18 |
Cincinnati Financial Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cincinnati . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Cincinnati Financial Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Cincinnati Financial Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Cincinnati Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Cincinnati Stock Analysis
When running Cincinnati Financial's price analysis, check to measure Cincinnati Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cincinnati Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Cincinnati Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cincinnati Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cincinnati Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cincinnati Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.