Aba Chemicals (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

300261 Stock   7.74  0.44  5.38%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aba Chemicals Corp is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Aba Chemicals buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 300261 positions.
  
Check out Aba Chemicals Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aba and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Aba Chemicals Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Aba Chemicals Buy or Sell Advice

The Aba recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aba Chemicals Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aba Chemicals Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aba Chemicals' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Aba ChemicalsBuy Aba Chemicals
Strong Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Relatively riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves totally opposite to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Aba Chemicals Corp has a Mean Deviation of 3.51, Semi Deviation of 4.11, Standard Deviation of 5.43, Variance of 29.46, Downside Variance of 21.61 and Semi Variance of 16.85
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Aba Chemicals Corp. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Aba Chemicals is not overpriced, please confirm all Aba Chemicals Corp fundamentals, including its return on asset, operating margin, shares outstanding, as well as the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

Aba Chemicals Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Aba Chemicals Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Aba Chemicals Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.28 B. Net Loss for the year was (82.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 255.24 M.
Aba Chemicals generates negative cash flow from operations
About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Aba Chemicals Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aba Chemicals' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aba Chemicals' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aba Chemicals daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aba Chemicals Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aba Chemicals returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aba Chemicals.
Mean Return
0.56
Value At Risk
-6.69
Potential Upside
12.80
Standard Deviation
5.43
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aba Chemicals historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aba Chemicals Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Dividends Paid138.5M97.2M100.6M38.4M80.1M54.7M
Capital Expenditures103.2M93.9M91.2M190.0M232.3M147.5M
Net Income81.6M161.0M181.8M202.9M(82.3M)(78.2M)
Change To Inventory(25.3M)(68.0M)(5.7M)(131.7M)(101.9M)(96.8M)
Investments33.4M(53.6M)30M(230.9M)(233.9M)(222.2M)
Change In Cash(87.5M)200.0M35.7M(134.9M)(149.9M)(142.4M)
Net Borrowings207.3M(88.0M)215.0M(254.3M)(228.9M)(217.5M)
Depreciation120.2M124.5M131.3M136.3M138.4M120.1M
Change To Netincome61.7M66.7M33.1M22.7M26.1M44.1M
End Period Cash Flow280.4M480.4M516.1M381.2M231.3M319.3M
Free Cash Flow(9.0M)244.2M331.5M(108.9M)(258.1M)(245.2M)
Other Non Cash Items47.2M46.5M61.2M19.9M22.8M29.0M

Aba Chemicals Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aba Chemicals or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aba Chemicals' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aba stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.67
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.01
σ
Overall volatility
5.63
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Aba Chemicals Volatility Alert

Aba Chemicals Corp exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aba Chemicals' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aba Chemicals' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Aba Chemicals Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aba Chemicals' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aba Chemicals' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aba Chemicals and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aba Chemicals or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aba Chemicals' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aba Chemicals by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aba Chemicals to competition
FundamentalsAba ChemicalsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0852-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0321-0.14
Profit Margin(0.19) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.03) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation8.31 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding963.31 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders43.89 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions1.36 %39.21 %
Price To Book3.30 X9.51 X
Price To Sales6.79 X11.42 X
Revenue1.28 B9.43 B
Gross Profit255.24 M27.38 B
EBITDA(79.24 M)3.9 B
Net Income(82.29 M)570.98 M
Total Debt658.32 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share2.34 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(25.85 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.23) X3.12 X
Target Price6.8
Number Of Employees1.22 K18.84 K
Beta0.72-0.15
Market Capitalization7.59 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.15 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings591.42 M9.33 B
Working Capital187.95 M1.48 B
Annual Yield0.01 %
Net Asset4.15 B
Last Dividend Paid0.05

Aba Chemicals Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aba . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Aba Chemicals Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aba Chemicals Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Aba Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Aba Chemicals in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Aba Stock

Aba Chemicals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aba Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aba with respect to the benefits of owning Aba Chemicals security.