Guangzhou Shangpin (China) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

300616 Stock   13.29  0.47  3.42%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Guangzhou Shangpin Home is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Guangzhou Shangpin buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 300616 positions.
  
Check out Guangzhou Shangpin Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Guangzhou and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Guangzhou Shangpin Home. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Guangzhou Shangpin Buy or Sell Advice

The Guangzhou recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Guangzhou Shangpin Home. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Guangzhou Shangpin Home or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Guangzhou Shangpin's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Guangzhou ShangpinBuy Guangzhou Shangpin
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

About AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Guangzhou Shangpin Home has a Mean Deviation of 2.74, Semi Deviation of 3.99, Standard Deviation of 4.69, Variance of 22.03, Downside Variance of 21.5 and Semi Variance of 15.93
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Guangzhou Shangpin and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Guangzhou Shangpin Home is not overpriced, please check out all Guangzhou Shangpin fundamentals, including its return on asset, operating margin, shares outstanding, as well as the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

Guangzhou Shangpin Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Guangzhou Shangpin appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Guangzhou Shangpin has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Guangzhou Shangpin Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Guangzhou Shangpin's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Guangzhou Shangpin's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Guangzhou Shangpin daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Guangzhou Shangpin Home price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Guangzhou Shangpin returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Guangzhou Shangpin.
Mean Return
0.51
Value At Risk
-4.42
Potential Upside
7.80
Standard Deviation
4.69
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Guangzhou Shangpin historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Guangzhou Shangpin Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(248.8M)(130.1M)57.9M1.1M106.9M112.2M
Investments111.1M(39.2M)(51.9M)104.4M(155.4M)(163.2M)
Change In Cash(132.2M)(501.6M)225.5M48.3M(230.7M)(219.2M)
Depreciation105.7M121.0M379.6M412.4M372.6M219.1M
Dividends Paid119.2M120.1M57.3M80.0M125.0M103.7M
Capital Expenditures802.8M592.1M1.1B225.8M696.3M656.9M
Net Income528.4M101.4M89.7M46.3M64.8M61.6M
End Period Cash Flow1.5B1.0B1.2B1.3B1.1B1.3B
Change To Netincome(101.1M)(52.5M)(23.9M)49.3M56.7M59.5M
Free Cash Flow(183.9M)(460.1M)(532.8M)(179.0M)102.4M107.5M
Other Non Cash Items43.1M53.7M80.0M124.2M126.8M79.6M

Guangzhou Shangpin Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Guangzhou Shangpin or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Guangzhou Shangpin's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Guangzhou stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.57
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.56
σ
Overall volatility
4.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Guangzhou Shangpin Volatility Alert

Guangzhou Shangpin Home shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Guangzhou Shangpin's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Guangzhou Shangpin's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Guangzhou Shangpin Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Guangzhou Shangpin's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Guangzhou Shangpin's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Guangzhou Shangpin and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Guangzhou Shangpin or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Guangzhou Shangpin's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guangzhou Shangpin by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Guangzhou Shangpin to competition
FundamentalsGuangzhou ShangpinPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0152-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0083-0.14
Profit Margin(0.01) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.01 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.03 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding224.52 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders50.95 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions6.84 %39.21 %
Price To Book0.85 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.72 X11.42 X
Revenue4.9 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.42 B27.38 B
EBITDA29.16 M3.9 B
Net Income64.85 M570.98 M
Total Debt3.01 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share16.88 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations798.72 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.23) X3.12 X
Target Price7.93
Number Of Employees9.18 K18.84 K
Beta1.07-0.15
Market Capitalization2.98 B19.03 B
Total Asset8.79 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.88 B9.33 B
Working Capital62.83 M1.48 B
Annual Yield0.07 %
Net Asset8.79 B
Last Dividend Paid0.9

Guangzhou Shangpin Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Guangzhou . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Guangzhou Shangpin Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Guangzhou Shangpin Home? Buying financial instruments such as Guangzhou Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Guangzhou Stock

Guangzhou Shangpin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guangzhou Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guangzhou with respect to the benefits of owning Guangzhou Shangpin security.